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How To Create Financial Projections for Your Business Plan

Building a financial projection as you write out your business plan can help you forecast how much money your business will bring in.

Planning for the future, whether it’s with growth in mind or just staying the course, is central to being a business owner. Part of this planning effort is making financial projections of sales, expenses, and—if all goes well—profits.

Even if your business is a startup that has yet to open its doors, you can still make projections. Here’s how to prepare your business plan financial projections, so your company will thrive.

What are business plan financial projections?

Business plan financial projections are a company’s estimates, or forecasts, of its financial performance at some point in the future. For existing businesses, draw on historical data to detail how your company expects metrics like revenue, expenses, profit, and cash flow to change over time.

Companies can create financial projections for any span of time, but typically they’re for between one and five years. Many companies revisit and amend these projections at least annually. 

Creating financial projections is an important part of building a business plan . That’s because realistic estimates help company leaders set business goals, execute financial decisions, manage cash flow , identify areas for operational improvement, seek funding from investors, and more.

What are financial projections used for? 

Financial forecasting serves as a useful tool for key stakeholders, both within and outside of the business. They often are used for:

Business planning

Accurate financial projections can help a company establish growth targets and other goals . They’re also used to determine whether ideas like a new product line are financially feasible. Future financial estimates are helpful tools for business contingency planning, which involves considering the monetary impact of adverse events and worst-case scenarios. They also provide a benchmark: If revenue is falling short of projections, for example, the company may need changes to keep business operations on track.

Projections may reveal potential problems—say, unexpected operating expenses that exceed cash inflows. A negative cash flow projection may suggest the business needs to secure funding through outside investments or bank loans, increase sales, improve margins, or cut costs.

When potential investors consider putting their money into a venture, they want a return on that investment. Business projections are a key tool they will use to make that decision. The projections can figure in establishing the valuation of your business, equity stakes, plans for an exit, and more. Investors may also use your projections to ensure that the business is meeting goals and benchmarks.

Loans or lines of credit 

Lenders rely on financial projections to determine whether to extend a business loan to your company. They’ll want to see historical financial data like cash flow statements, your balance sheet , and other financial statements—but they’ll also look very closely at your multi-year financial projections. Good candidates can receive higher loan amounts with lower interest rates or more flexible payment plans.

Lenders may also use the estimated value of company assets to determine the collateral to secure the loan. Like investors, lenders typically refer to your projections over time to monitor progress and financial health.

What information is included in financial projections for a business?

Before sitting down to create projections, you’ll need to collect some data. Owners of an existing business can leverage three financial statements they likely already have: a balance sheet, an annual income statement , and a cash flow statement .

A new business, however, won’t have this historical data. So market research is crucial: Review competitors’ pricing strategies, scour research reports and market analysis , and scrutinize any other publicly available data that can help inform your projections. Beginning with conservative estimates and simple calculations can help you get started, and you can always add to the projections over time.

One business’s financial projections may be more detailed than another’s, but the forecasts typically rely on and include the following:

True to its name, a cash flow statement shows the money coming into and going out of the business over time: cash outflows and inflows. Cash flows fall into three main categories:

Income statement

Projected income statements, also known as projected profit and loss statements (P&Ls), forecast the company’s revenue and expenses for a given period.

Generally, this is a table with several line items for each category. Sales projections can include the sales forecast for each individual product or service (many companies break this down by month). Expenses are a similar setup: List your expected costs by category, including recurring expenses such as salaries and rent, as well as variable expenses for raw materials and transportation.

This exercise will also provide you with a net income projection, which is the difference between your revenue and expenses, including any taxes or interest payments. That number is a forecast of your profit or loss, hence why this document is often called a P&L.

Balance sheet

A balance sheet shows a snapshot of your company’s financial position at a specific point in time. Three important elements are included as balance sheet items:

• Assets. Assets are any tangible item of value that the company currently has on hand or will in the future, like cash, inventory, equipment, and accounts receivable. Intangible assets include copyrights, trademarks, patents and other intellectual property .
• Liabilities. Liabilities are anything that the company owes, including taxes, wages, accounts payable, dividends, and unearned revenue, such as customer payments for goods you haven’t yet delivered.
• Shareholder equity. The shareholder equity figure is derived by subtracting total liabilities from total assets. It reflects how much money, or capital, the company would have left over if the business paid all its liabilities at once or liquidated (this figure can be a negative number if liabilities exceed assets). Equity in business is the amount of capital that the owners and any other shareholders have tied up in the company.

They’re called balance sheets because assets always equal liabilities plus shareholder equity. 

5 steps for creating financial projections for your business

• Identify the purpose and timeframe for your projections
• Collect relevant historical financial data and market analysis
• Forecast expenses
• Forecast sales
• Build financial projections

The following five steps can help you break down the process of developing financial projections for your company:

1. Identify the purpose and timeframe for your projections

The details of your projections may vary depending on their purpose. Are they for internal planning, pitching investors, or monitoring performance over time? Setting the time frame—monthly, quarterly, annually, or multi-year—will also inform the rest of the steps.

2. Collect relevant historical financial data and market analysis

If available, gather historical financial statements, including balance sheets, cash flow statements, and annual income statements. New companies without this historical data may have to rely on market research, analyst reports, and industry benchmarks—all things that established companies also should use to support their assumptions.

3. Forecast expenses

Identify future spending based on direct costs of producing your goods and services ( cost of goods sold, or COGS) as well as operating expenses, including any recurring and one-time costs. Factor in expected changes in expenses, because this can evolve based on business growth, time in the market, and the launch of new products.

4. Forecast sales

Project sales for each revenue stream, broken down by month. These projections may be based on historical data or market research, and they should account for anticipated or likely changes in market demand and pricing.

5. Build financial projections

Now that you have projected expenses and revenue, you can plug that information into Shopify’s cash flow calculator and cash flow statement template . This information can also be used to forecast your income statement. In turn, these steps inform your calculations on the balance sheet, on which you’ll also account for any assets and liabilities .

Business plan financial projections FAQ

What are the main components of a financial projection in a business plan.

Generally speaking, most financial forecasts include projections for income, balance sheet, and cash flow.

What’s the difference between financial projection and financial forecast?

These two terms are often used interchangeably. Depending on the context, a financial forecast may refer to a more formal and detailed document—one that might include analysis and context for several financial metrics in a more complex financial model.

Do I need accounting or planning software for financial projections?

Not necessarily. Depending on factors like the age and size of your business, you may be able to prepare financial projections using a simple spreadsheet program. Large complicated businesses, however, usually use accounting software and other types of advanced data-management systems.

What are some limitations of financial projections?

Projections are by nature based on human assumptions and, of course, humans can’t truly predict the future—even with the aid of computers and software programs. Financial projections are, at best, estimates based on the information available at the time—not ironclad guarantees of future performance.

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• Business Planning

Business Plan Financial Projections

Written by Dave Lavinsky

Financial projections are forecasted analyses of your business’ future that include income statements, balance sheets and cash flow statements. We have found them to be an crucial part of your business plan for the following reasons:

• They can help prove or disprove the viability of your business idea. For example, if your initial projections show your company will never make a sizable profit, your venture might not be feasible. Or, in such a case, you might figure out ways to raise prices, enter new markets, or streamline operations to make it profitable. 
• Financial projections give investors and lenders an idea of how well your business is likely to do in the future. They can give lenders the confidence that you’ll be able to comfortably repay their loan with interest. And for equity investors, your projections can give them faith that you’ll earn them a solid return on investment. In both cases, your projections can help you secure the funding you need to launch or grow your business.
• Financial projections help you track your progress over time and ensure your business is on track to meet its goals. For example, if your financial projections show you should generate $500,000 in sales during the year, but you are not on track to accomplish that, you’ll know you need to take corrective action to achieve your goal.

Below you’ll learn more about the key components of financial projections and how to complete and include them in your business plan.

What Are Business Plan Financial Projections?

Financial projections are an estimate of your company’s future financial performance through financial forecasting. They are typically used by businesses to secure funding, but can also be useful for internal decision-making and planning purposes. There are three main financial statements that you will need to include in your business plan financial projections:

1. Income Statement Projection

The income statement projection is a forecast of your company’s future revenues and expenses. It should include line items for each type of income and expense, as well as a total at the end.

There are a few key items you will need to include in your projection:

• Revenue: Your revenue projection should break down your expected sales by product or service, as well as by month. It is important to be realistic in your projections, so make sure to account for any seasonal variations in your business.
• Expenses: Your expense projection should include a breakdown of your expected costs by category, such as marketing, salaries, and rent. Again, it is important to be realistic in your estimates.
• Net Income: The net income projection is the difference between your revenue and expenses. This number tells you how much profit your company is expected to make.

Sample Income Statement

2. Cash Flow Statement & Projection

The cash flow statement and projection are a forecast of your company’s future cash inflows and outflows. It is important to include a cash flow projection in your business plan, as it will give investors and lenders an idea of your company’s ability to generate cash.

There are a few key items you will need to include in your cash flow projection:

• The cash flow statement shows a breakdown of your expected cash inflows and outflows by month. It is important to be realistic in your projections, so make sure to account for any seasonal variations in your business.
• Cash inflows should include items such as sales revenue, interest income, and capital gains. Cash outflows should include items such as salaries, rent, and marketing expenses.
• It is important to track your company’s cash flow over time to ensure that it is healthy. A healthy cash flow is necessary for a successful business.

Sample Cash Flow Statements

3. Balance Sheet Projection

The balance sheet projection is a forecast of your company’s future financial position. It should include line items for each type of asset and liability, as well as a total at the end.

A projection should include a breakdown of your company’s assets and liabilities by category. It is important to be realistic in your projections, so make sure to account for any seasonal variations in your business.

It is important to track your company’s financial position over time to ensure that it is healthy. A healthy balance is necessary for a successful business.

Sample Balance Sheet

How to Create Financial Projections

Creating financial projections for your business plan can be a daunting task, but it’s important to put together accurate and realistic financial projections in order to give your business the best chance for success.  

Cost Assumptions

When you create financial projections, it is important to be realistic about the costs your business will incur, using historical financial data can help with this. You will need to make assumptions about the cost of goods sold, operational costs, and capital expenditures.

It is important to track your company’s expenses over time to ensure that it is staying within its budget. A healthy bottom line is necessary for a successful business.

Capital Expenditures, Funding, Tax, and Balance Sheet Items

You will also need to make assumptions about capital expenditures, funding, tax, and balance sheet items. These assumptions will help you to create a realistic financial picture of your business.

Capital Expenditures

When projecting your company’s capital expenditures, you will need to make a number of assumptions about the type of equipment or property your business will purchase. You will also need to estimate the cost of the purchase.

When projecting your company’s funding needs, you will need to make a number of assumptions about where the money will come from. This might include assumptions about bank loans, venture capital, or angel investors.

When projecting your company’s tax liability, you will need to make a number of assumptions about the tax rates that will apply to your business. You will also need to estimate the amount of taxes your company will owe.

Balance Sheet Items

When projecting your company’s balance, you will need to make a number of assumptions about the type and amount of debt your business will have. You will also need to estimate the value of your company’s assets and liabilities.

Financial Projection Scenarios

Write two financial scenarios when creating your financial projections, a best-case scenario, and a worst-case scenario. Use your list of assumptions to come up with realistic numbers for each scenario.

Presuming that you have already generated a list of assumptions, the creation of best and worst-case scenarios should be relatively simple. For each assumption, generate a high and low estimate. For example, if you are assuming that your company will have $100,000 in revenue, your high estimate might be $120,000 and your low estimate might be $80,000.

Once you have generated high and low estimates for all of your assumptions, you can create two scenarios: a best case scenario and a worst-case scenario. Simply plug the high estimates into your financial projections for the best-case scenario and the low estimates into your financial projections for the worst-case scenario.

Conduct a Ratio Analysis

A ratio analysis is a useful tool that can be used to evaluate a company’s financial health. Ratios can be used to compare a company’s performance to its industry average or to its own historical performance.

There are a number of different ratios that can be used in ratio analysis. Some of the more popular ones include the following:

• Gross margin ratio
• Operating margin ratio
• Return on assets (ROA)
• Return on equity (ROE)

To conduct a ratio analysis, you will need financial statements for your company and for its competitors. You will also need industry average ratios. These can be found in industry reports or on financial websites.

Once you have the necessary information, you can calculate the ratios for your company and compare them to the industry averages or to your own historical performance. If your company’s ratios are significantly different from the industry averages, it might be indicative of a problem.

Be Realistic

When creating your financial projections, it is important to be realistic. Your projections should be based on your list of assumptions and should reflect your best estimate of what your company’s future financial performance will be. This includes projected operating income, a projected income statement, and a profit and loss statement.

Your goal should be to create a realistic set of financial projections that can be used to guide your company’s future decision-making.

Sales Forecast

One of the most important aspects of your financial projections is your sales forecast. Your sales forecast should be based on your list of assumptions and should reflect your best estimate of what your company’s future sales will be.

Your sales forecast should be realistic and achievable. Do not try to “game” the system by creating an overly optimistic or pessimistic forecast. Your goal should be to create a realistic sales forecast that can be used to guide your company’s future decision-making.

Creating a sales forecast is not an exact science, but there are a number of methods that can be used to generate realistic estimates. Some common methods include market analysis, competitor analysis, and customer surveys.

Create Multi-Year Financial Projections

When creating financial projections, it is important to generate projections for multiple years. This will give you a better sense of how your company’s financial performance is likely to change over time.

It is also important to remember that your financial projections are just that: projections. They are based on a number of assumptions and are not guaranteed to be accurate. As such, you should review and update your projections on a regular basis to ensure that they remain relevant.

Creating financial projections is an important part of any business plan. However, it’s important to remember that these projections are just estimates. They are not guarantees of future success.

Business Plan Financial Projections FAQs

What is a business plan financial projection.

A business plan financial projection is a forecast of your company's future financial performance. It should include line items for each type of asset and liability, as well as a total at the end.

What are annual income statements? 

The Annual income statement is a financial document and a financial model that summarize a company's revenues and expenses over the course of a fiscal year. They provide a snapshot of a company's financial health and performance and can be used to track trends and make comparisons with other businesses.

What are the necessary financial statements?

The necessary financial statements for a business plan are an income statement, cash flow statement, and balance sheet.

How do I create financial projections?

You can create financial projections by making a list of assumptions, creating two scenarios (best case and worst case), conducting a ratio analysis, and being realistic.

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How to Write the Financial Section of a Business Plan

An outline of your company's growth strategy is essential to a business plan, but it just isn't complete without the numbers to back it up. here's some advice on how to include things like a sales forecast, expense budget, and cash-flow statement..

A business plan is all conceptual until you start filling in the numbers and terms. The sections about your marketing plan and strategy are interesting to read, but they don't mean a thing if you can't justify your business with good figures on the bottom line. You do this in a distinct section of your business plan for financial forecasts and statements. The financial section of a business plan is one of the most essential components of the plan, as you will need it if you have any hope of winning over investors or obtaining a bank loan. Even if you don't need financing, you should compile a financial forecast in order to simply be successful in steering your business. "This is what will tell you whether the business will be viable or whether you are wasting your time and/or money," says Linda Pinson, author of Automate Your Business Plan for Windows  (Out of Your Mind 2008) and Anatomy of a Business Plan (Out of Your Mind 2008), who runs a publishing and software business Out of Your Mind and Into the Marketplace . "In many instances, it will tell you that you should not be going into this business." The following will cover what the financial section of a business plan is, what it should include, and how you should use it to not only win financing but to better manage your business.

Dig Deeper: Generating an Accurate Sales Forecast

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How to Write the Financial Section of a Business Plan: The Purpose of the Financial Section Let's start by explaining what the financial section of a business plan is not. Realize that the financial section is not the same as accounting. Many people get confused about this because the financial projections that you include--profit and loss, balance sheet, and cash flow--look similar to accounting statements your business generates. But accounting looks back in time, starting today and taking a historical view. Business planning or forecasting is a forward-looking view, starting today and going into the future. "You don't do financials in a business plan the same way you calculate the details in your accounting reports," says Tim Berry, president and founder of Palo Alto Software, who blogs at Bplans.com and is writing a book, The Plan-As-You-Go Business Plan. "It's not tax reporting. It's an elaborate educated guess." What this means, says Berry, is that you summarize and aggregate more than you might with accounting, which deals more in detail. "You don't have to imagine all future asset purchases with hypothetical dates and hypothetical depreciation schedules to estimate future depreciation," he says. "You can just guess based on past results. And you don't spend a lot of time on minute details in a financial forecast that depends on an educated guess for sales." The purpose of the financial section of a business plan is two-fold. You're going to need it if you are seeking investment from venture capitalists, angel investors, or even smart family members. They are going to want to see numbers that say your business will grow--and quickly--and that there is an exit strategy for them on the horizon, during which they can make a profit. Any bank or lender will also ask to see these numbers as well to make sure you can repay your loan. But the most important reason to compile this financial forecast is for your own benefit, so you understand how you project your business will do. "This is an ongoing, living document. It should be a guide to running your business," Pinson says. "And at any particular time you feel you need funding or financing, then you are prepared to go with your documents." If there is a rule of thumb when filling in the numbers in the financial section of your business plan, it's this: Be realistic. "There is a tremendous problem with the hockey-stick forecast" that projects growth as steady until it shoots up like the end of a hockey stick, Berry says. "They really aren't credible." Berry, who acts as an angel investor with the Willamette Angel Conference, says that while a startling growth trajectory is something that would-be investors would love to see, it's most often not a believable growth forecast. "Everyone wants to get involved in the next Google or Twitter, but every plan seems to have this hockey stick forecast," he says. "Sales are going along flat, but six months from now there is a huge turn and everything gets amazing, assuming they get the investors' money."  The way you come up a credible financial section for your business plan is to demonstrate that it's realistic. One way, Berry says, is to break the figures into components, by sales channel or target market segment, and provide realistic estimates for sales and revenue. "It's not exactly data, because you're still guessing the future. But if you break the guess into component guesses and look at each one individually, it somehow feels better," Berry says. "Nobody wins by overly optimistic or overly pessimistic forecasts."

Dig Deeper: What Angel Investors Look For

How to Write the Financial Section of a Business Plan: The Components of a Financial Section

A financial forecast isn't necessarily compiled in sequence. And you most likely won't present it in the final document in the same sequence you compile the figures and documents. Berry says that it's typical to start in one place and jump back and forth. For example, what you see in the cash-flow plan might mean going back to change estimates for sales and expenses.  Still, he says that it's easier to explain in sequence, as long as you understand that you don't start at step one and go to step six without looking back--a lot--in between.

• Start with a sales forecast. Set up a spreadsheet projecting your sales over the course of three years. Set up different sections for different lines of sales and columns for every month for the first year and either on a monthly or quarterly basis for the second and third years. "Ideally you want to project in spreadsheet blocks that include one block for unit sales, one block for pricing, a third block that multiplies units times price to calculate sales, a fourth block that has unit costs, and a fifth that multiplies units times unit cost to calculate cost of sales (also called COGS or direct costs)," Berry says. "Why do you want cost of sales in a sales forecast? Because you want to calculate gross margin. Gross margin is sales less cost of sales, and it's a useful number for comparing with different standard industry ratios." If it's a new product or a new line of business, you have to make an educated guess. The best way to do that, Berry says, is to look at past results.
• Create an expenses budget. You're going to need to understand how much it's going to cost you to actually make the sales you have forecast. Berry likes to differentiate between fixed costs (i.e., rent and payroll) and variable costs (i.e., most advertising and promotional expenses), because it's a good thing for a business to know. "Lower fixed costs mean less risk, which might be theoretical in business schools but are very concrete when you have rent and payroll checks to sign," Berry says. "Most of your variable costs are in those direct costs that belong in your sales forecast, but there are also some variable expenses, like ads and rebates and such." Once again, this is a forecast, not accounting, and you're going to have to estimate things like interest and taxes. Berry recommends you go with simple math. He says multiply estimated profits times your best-guess tax percentage rate to estimate taxes. And then multiply your estimated debts balance times an estimated interest rate to estimate interest.
• Develop a cash-flow statement. This is the statement that shows physical dollars moving in and out of the business. "Cash flow is king," Pinson says. You base this partly on your sales forecasts, balance sheet items, and other assumptions. If you are operating an existing business, you should have historical documents, such as profit and loss statements and balance sheets from years past to base these forecasts on. If you are starting a new business and do not have these historical financial statements, you start by projecting a cash-flow statement broken down into 12 months. Pinson says that it's important to understand when compiling this cash-flow projection that you need to choose a realistic ratio for how many of your invoices will be paid in cash, 30 days, 60 days, 90 days and so on. You don't want to be surprised that you only collect 80 percent of your invoices in the first 30 days when you are counting on 100 percent to pay your expenses, she says. Some business planning software programs will have these formulas built in to help you make these projections.
• Income projections. This is your pro forma profit and loss statement, detailing forecasts for your business for the coming three years. Use the numbers that you put in your sales forecast, expense projections, and cash flow statement. "Sales, lest cost of sales, is gross margin," Berry says. "Gross margin, less expenses, interest, and taxes, is net profit."
• Deal with assets and liabilities. You also need a projected balance sheet. You have to deal with assets and liabilities that aren't in the profits and loss statement and project the net worth of your business at the end of the fiscal year. Some of those are obvious and affect you at only the beginning, like startup assets. A lot are not obvious. "Interest is in the profit and loss, but repayment of principle isn't," Berry says. "Taking out a loan, giving out a loan, and inventory show up only in assets--until you pay for them." So the way to compile this is to start with assets, and estimate what you'll have on hand, month by month for cash, accounts receivable (money owed to you), inventory if you have it, and substantial assets like land, buildings, and equipment. Then figure out what you have as liabilities--meaning debts. That's money you owe because you haven't paid bills (which is called accounts payable) and the debts you have because of outstanding loans.
• Breakeven analysis. The breakeven point, Pinson says, is when your business's expenses match your sales or service volume. The three-year income projection will enable you to undertake this analysis. "If your business is viable, at a certain period of time your overall revenue will exceed your overall expenses, including interest." This is an important analysis for potential investors, who want to know that they are investing in a fast-growing business with an exit strategy.

Dig Deeper: How to Price Business Services

How to Write the Financial Section of a Business Plan: How to Use the Financial Section One of the biggest mistakes business people make is to look at their business plan, and particularly the financial section, only once a year. "I like to quote former President Dwight D. Eisenhower," says Berry. "'The plan is useless, but planning is essential.' What people do wrong is focus on the plan, and once the plan is done, it's forgotten. It's really a shame, because they could have used it as a tool for managing the company." In fact, Berry recommends that business executives sit down with the business plan once a month and fill in the actual numbers in the profit and loss statement and compare those numbers with projections. And then use those comparisons to revise projections in the future. Pinson also recommends that you undertake a financial statement analysis to develop a study of relationships and compare items in your financial statements, compare financial statements over time, and even compare your statements to those of other businesses. Part of this is a ratio analysis. She recommends you do some homework and find out some of the prevailing ratios used in your industry for liquidity analysis, profitability analysis, and debt and compare those standard ratios with your own. "This is all for your benefit," she says. "That's what financial statements are for. You should be utilizing your financial statements to measure your business against what you did in prior years or to measure your business against another business like yours."  If you are using your business plan to attract investment or get a loan, you may also include a business financial history as part of the financial section. This is a summary of your business from its start to the present. Sometimes a bank might have a section like this on a loan application. If you are seeking a loan, you may need to add supplementary documents to the financial section, such as the owner's financial statements, listing assets and liabilities. All of the various calculations you need to assemble the financial section of a business plan are a good reason to look for business planning software, so you can have this on your computer and make sure you get this right. Software programs also let you use some of your projections in the financial section to create pie charts or bar graphs that you can use elsewhere in your business plan to highlight your financials, your sales history, or your projected income over three years. "It's a pretty well-known fact that if you are going to seek equity investment from venture capitalists or angel investors," Pinson says, "they do like visuals."

Dig Deeper: How to Protect Your Margins in a Downturn

Related Links: Making It All Add Up: The Financial Section of a Business Plan One of the major benefits of creating a business plan is that it forces entrepreneurs to confront their company's finances squarely. Persuasive Projections You can avoid some of the most common mistakes by following this list of dos and don'ts. Making Your Financials Add Up No business plan is complete until it contains a set of financial projections that are not only inspiring but also logical and defensible. How many years should my financial projections cover for a new business? Some guidelines on what to include. Recommended Resources: Bplans.com More than 100 free sample business plans, plus articles, tips, and tools for developing your plan. Planning, Startups, Stories: Basic Business Numbers An online video in author Tim Berry's blog, outlining what you really need to know about basic business numbers. Out of Your Mind and Into the Marketplace Linda Pinson's business selling books and software for business planning. Palo Alto Software Business-planning tools and information from the maker of the Business Plan Pro software. U.S. Small Business Administration Government-sponsored website aiding small and midsize businesses. Financial Statement Section of a Business Plan for Start-Ups A guide to writing the financial section of a business plan developed by SCORE of northeastern Massachusetts.

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How to make financial projections for business.

Writing a solid business plan should be the first step for any business owner looking to create a successful business. 

As a small business owner, you will want to get the attention of investors, partners, or potential highly skilled employees. It is, therefore, important to have a realistic financial forecast incorporated into your business plan. 

We’ll break down a financial projection and how to utilize it to give your business the best start possible.

Key Takeaways

Accurate financial projections are essential for businesses to succeed. In this article, we’ll explain everything you need to know about creating financial projections for your business. Here’s what you need to know about financial projections:

• A financial projection is a group of financial statements that are used to forecast future performance
• Creating financial projections can break down into 5 simple steps: sales projections, expense projections, balance sheet projections, income statement projections, and cash flow projections
• Financial projections can offer huge benefits to your business, including helping with forecasting future performance, ensuring steady cash flow, and planning key moves around the growth of the business

Here’s What We’ll Cover:

What Is a Financial Projection?

How to Create a Financial Projection

What goes into a financial projection, what are financial projections used for.

Financial Projections Advantages

Frequently Asked Questions

What Is Financial Projection?

A financial projection is essentially a set of financial statements . These statements will forecast future revenues and expenses. 

Any projection includes your cash inflows and outlays, your general income, and your balance sheet. 

They are perfect for showing bankers and investors how you plan to repay business loans. They also show what you intend to do with your money and how you expect your business to grow. 

Most projections are for the first 3-5 years of business, but some include a 10-year forecast too.

Either way, you will need to develop a short and mid-term projection broken down month by month. 

As you are just starting out with your business, you won’t be expected to provide exact details. Most financial projections are rough guesses. But they should also be educated guesses based on market trends, research, and looking at similar businesses. 

It’s incredibly important for financial statements to be realistic. Most investors will be able to spot a fanciful projection from a mile away. 

In general, most people would prefer to be given realistic projections, even if they’re not as impressive.

Financial projections are created to help business owners gain insight into the future of their company’s financials. 

The question is, how to create financial projections? For business plan purposes, it’s important that you follow the best practices of financial projection closely. This will ensure you get accurate insight, which is vital for existing businesses and new business startups alike.

Here are the steps for creating accurate financial projections for your business.

1. Start With A Sales Projection

For starters, you’ll need to project how much your business will make in sales. If you’re creating a sales forecast for an existing business, you’ll have past performance records to project your next period. Past data can provide useful information for your financial projection, such as if your sales do better in one season than another.

Be sure also to consider external factors, such as the economy at large, the potential for added tariffs and taxes in the future, supply chain issues, or industry downturns. 

The process is almost the same for new businesses, only without past data to refer to. Business startups will need to do more research on their industry to gain insight into potential future sales.

2. Create Your Expense Projection

Next, create an expense projection for your business. In a sense, this is an easier task than a sales projection since it seems simpler to predict your own behaviors than your customers. However, it’s vital that you expect the unexpected.

Optimism is great, but the worst-case scenario must be considered and accounted for in your expense projection. From accidents in the workplace to natural disasters, rising trade prices, to unexpected supply disruptions, you need to consider these large expenses in your projection. 

Something always comes up, so we suggest you add a 10-15% margin on your expense projection.

3. Create Your Balance Sheet Projection

A balance sheet projection is used to get a clear look at your business’s financial position related to assets, liabilities , and equity, giving you a more holistic view of the company’s overall financial health. 

For startup businesses, this can prove to be a lot of work since you won’t have existing records of past performance to pull from. This will need to be factored into your industry research to create an accurate financial projection.

For existing businesses, it will be more straightforward. Use your past and current balance sheets to predict your business’s position in the next 1-3 years. If you use a cloud-based, online accounting software with the feature to generate balance sheets, such as the one offered by FreshBooks, you’ll be able to quickly create balance sheets for your financial projection within the app.

Click here to learn more about the features of FreshBooks accounting software.

4. Make Your Income Statement Projection

Next up, create an income statement projection. An income statement is used to declare the net income of a business after all expenses have been made. In other words, it states the profits of a business.

For currently operating businesses, you can use your past income statements and the changes between them to create accurate predictions for the next 1-3 years. You can also use accounting software to generate your income statements automatically. 

You’ll need to work on rough estimates for new businesses or those still in the planning phase. It’s vital that you stay realistic and do your utmost to create an accurate, good-faith projection of future income. 

5. Finally, Create Your Cash Flow Projection

Last but not least is to generate your projected cash flow statement. A cash flow projection forecasts the movement of all money to and from your business. It’s intertwined with a business’s balance sheet and income statement, which is no different when creating projections. 

If your business has been operating for six months or more, you can create a fairly accurate cash flow projection with your past cash flow financial statements. For new businesses, you’ll need to factor in this step of creating a financial forecast when doing your industry research. 

It needs to include five elements to ensure an accurate, useful financial forecast for your business. These financial statements come together to provide greater insight into the projected future of a business’s financial health. These include:

Income Statement

A standard income statement summarizes your company’s revenues and expenses over a period. This is normally done either quarterly or annually.

The income statement is where you will do the bulk of your forecasting. 

On any income statement, you’re likely to find the following:

• Revenue: Your revenue earned through sales. 
• Expenses: The amount you’ve spent, including your product costs and your overheads.
• Pre-Tax Earnings: This is your income before you’ve paid tax.
• Net Income: The total revenues minus your total expenses. 

Net income is the most important number. If the number is positive, then you’re earning a profit, if it’s negative, it means your expenses outweigh your revenue and you’re making a loss. 

Cash Flow Statement

Your cash flow statement will show any potential investor whether you are a good credit risk. It also shows them if you can successfully repay any loans you are granted.

You can break a cash flow statement into three parts:

• Cash Revenues: An overview of your calculated cash sales for a given time period. 
• Cash Disbursements: You list all the cash expenditures you expect to pay.
• Net Cash Revenue: Take the cash revenues minus your cash disbursements.

Balance Sheet

Your balance sheet will show your business’s net worth at a given time.

A balance sheet is split up into three different sections:

• Assets: An asset is a tangible object of value that your company owns. It could be things like stock or property such as warehouses or offices. 
• Liabilities: These are any debts your business owes.
• Equity: Your equity is the summary of your assets minus your liabilities.

Looking for an easy-to-use yet capable online accounting software? FreshBooks accounting software is a cloud-based solution that makes financial projections simple. With countless financial reporting features and detailed guides on creating accurate financial forecasts, FreshBooks can help you gain the insight you need to let your business thrive. Click here to give FreshBooks a try for free.

Financial projections have many uses for current business owners and startup entrepreneurs. Provided your financial forecasting follows the best practices for an accurate projection, your data will be used for:

• Internal planning and budgeting – Your finances will be the main factor in whether or not you’ll be able to execute your business plan to completion. Financial projections allow you to make it happen.
• Attracting investors and securing funding – Whether you’re receiving financing from bank loans, investors, or both, an accurate projection will be essential in receiving the funds you need.
• Evaluating business performance and identifying areas for improvement – Financial projections help you keep track of your business’s financial health, allowing you to plan ahead and avoid unwelcome surprises.
• Making strategic business decisions – Timing is important in business, especially when it comes to major expenditures (new product rollouts, large-scale marketing, expansion, etc.). Financial projections allow you to make an informed strategy for these big decisions.

Financial Projections Advantages 

Creating clear financial projections for your business startup or existing company has countless benefits. Focusing on creating (and maintaining) good financial forecasting for your business will:

• Help you make vital financial decisions for the business in the future
• Help you plan and strategize for growth and expansion
• Demonstrate to bankers how you will repay your loans 
• Demonstrate to investors how you will repay financing
• Identify your most essential financing needs in the future
• Assist in fine-tuning your pricing
• Be helpful when strategizing your production plan
• Be a useful tool for planning your major expenditures strategically
• Help you keep an eye on your cash flow for the future

Your financial forecast is an essential part of your business plan, whether you’re still in the early startup phases or already running an established business. However, it’s vital that you follow the best practices laid out above to ensure you receive the full benefits of comprehensive financial forecasting.  

If you’re looking for a useful tool to save time on the administrative tasks of financial forecasting, FreshBooks can help. With the ability to instantly generate the reports you need and get a birds-eye-view of your business’s past performance and overall financial help, it will be easier to create useful financial projections that provide insight into your financial future. 

FAQs on Financial Projections

More questions about financial forecasting, projections, and how these processes fit into your business plan? Here are some frequently asked questions by business owners.

Why are financial projections important?

Financial projections allow you to gain insight into your business’s economic trajectory. This helps business owners make financial decisions, secure funding, and more. Additionally, financial projections provide early warning of roadblocks and challenges that may lay ahead for the company, making it easier to plan for a clear course of action.

What is an example of a financial projection?

A projection is an overall look at a business’s forecasted performance. It’s made up of several different statements and reports, such as a cash flow statement, income statement, profit and loss statement, and sales statement. You can find free templates and examples of many of these reports via FreshBooks. Click here to view our selection of accounting templates.

Are financial forecasts and financial projections the same?

Technically, there is a difference between forecasting and projections, though many use the terms interchangeably. Financial forecasting often refers to shorter-term (<1 year) predictions of financial performance, while financial projections usually focus on a larger time scale (2-3 years).

What is the most widely used method for financial forecasting?

The most common method of accurate forecasting is the straight-line forecasting method. It’s most often used for projecting the growth of a business’s revenue growth over a set period. If you notice that your records indicate a 4% growth of revenue per year for five years running, it would be reasonable to assume that this will continue year-over-year. 

What is the purpose of a financial projection?

Projection aims to get deeper, more nuanced insight into a business’s financial health and viability. It allows business owners to anticipate expenses and profit growth, giving them the tools to secure funding and loans and strategize major business decisions. It’s an essential accounting process that all business owners should prioritize in their business plans.

Michelle Alexander, CPA

About the author

Michelle Alexander is a CPA and implementation consultant for Artificial Intelligence-powered financial risk discovery technology. She has a Master's of Professional Accounting from the University of Saskatchewan, and has worked in external audit compliance and various finance roles for Government and Big 4. In her spare time you’ll find her traveling the world, shopping for antique jewelry, and painting watercolour floral arrangements.

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How to Create Financial Projections for Your Business Plan

Written by Dave Lavinsky

Financial projections, also known as financial models, are forecasts of your company’s expected financial performance, typically over the next 5 years.

Over the past 25+ years, we’ve created financial projections for thousands of startups and existing businesses. In doing so, we’ve found 3 key reasons why financial projections are important:

• They help you determine the viability of your new business ideas and/or your need to make modifications to them. For instance, if your initial financial projections show your business idea isn’t profitable, you’ll know that changes are needed (e.g., raising prices, serving new markets, figuring out how to reduce costs, etc.) to make it viable.
• They are crucial for raising funding. Lenders will always review your financial projections to ensure you can comfortably repay any loans they issue you. Equity investors will nearly always review your projections in determining whether they can achieve their desired return on their investment in your business.
• They help keep your business financially on track by giving you goals. For instance, if your financial projections state your company should generate 100 new clients this year, and the year is halfway done and you’re only at 30 clients, you’ll know you need to readjust your strategy to achieve your goals.

In the remainder of this article, you’ll learn more about financial projections, how to complete them, and how to incorporate them in your business plan.

Download our Ultimate Business Plan Template Here to Quickly & Easily Complete Your Business Plan & Financial Projections

What are Financial Projections?

Financial projections are forecasts or estimations of your company’s future revenues and expenses, serving as a crucial part of business planning. To complete them you must develop multiple assumptions with regards to items like future sales volumes, employee headcount and the cost of supplies and other expenses. Financial projections help you create better strategies to grow your business.

Your financial projections will be the most analyzed part of your business plan by investors and/or banks. While never a precise prediction of future performance, an excellent financial model outlines the core assumptions of your business and helps you and others evaluate capital requirements, risks involved, and rewards that successful execution will deliver.

Having a solid framework in place also will help you compare your performance to the financial projections and evaluate how your business is progressing. If your performance is behind your projections, you will have a framework in place to assess the effects of lowering costs, increasing prices, or even reimagining your model. In the happy case that you exceed your business projections, you can use your framework to plan for accelerated growth, new hires, or additional expansion investments.

Hence, the use of financial projections is multi-fold and crucial for the success of any business. Your financial projections should include three core financial statements – the income statement, the cash flow statement, and the balance sheet. The following section explains each statement in detail.

Necessary Financial Statements

The three financial statements are the income statement, the cash flow statement, and the balance sheet. You will learn how to create each one in detail below.  

Income Statement Projection

The projected income statement is also referred to as a profit and loss statement and showcases your business’s revenues and expenses for a specific period.

To create an income statement, you first will need to chart out a sales forecast by taking realistic estimates of units sold and multiplying them by price per unit to arrive at a total sales number. Then, estimate the cost of these units and multiply them by the number of units to get the cost of sales. Finally, calculate your gross margin by subtracting the cost of sales from your sales.

Once you have calculated your gross margin, deduct items like wages, rent, marketing costs, and other expenses that you plan to pay to facilitate your business’s operations. The resulting total represents your projected operating income, which is a critical business metric.

Plan to create an income statement monthly until your projected break-even, or the point at which future revenues outpace total expenses, and you reflect operating profit. From there, annual income statements will suffice.

Sample Income Statement

Consider a sample income statement for a retail store below:

Cash Flow Projection

As the name indicates, a cash flow statement shows the cash flowing in and out of your business. The cash flow statement incorporates cash from business operations and includes cash inflows and outflows from investment and financing activities to deliver a holistic cash picture of your company.

Investment activities include purchasing land or equipment or research & development activities that aren’t necessarily part of daily operations. Cash movements due to financing activities include cash flowing in a business through investors and/or banks and cash flowing out due to debt repayment or distributions made to shareholders.

You should total all these three components of a cash flow projection for any specified period to arrive at a total ending cash balance. Constructing solid cash flow projections will ensure you anticipate capital needs to carry the business to a place of sustainable operations.

Sample Cash Flow Statement

Below is a simple cash flow statement for the same retail store:

Balance Sheet Projection

A balance sheet shows your company’s assets, liabilities, and owner’s equity for a certain period and provides a snapshot in time of your business performance. Assets include things of value that the business owns, such as inventory, capital, and land. Liabilities, on the other hand, are legally bound commitments like payables for goods or services rendered and debt. Finally, owner’s equity refers to the amount that is remaining once liabilities are paid off. Assets must total – or balance – liabilities and equity.

Your startup financial documents should include annual balance sheets that show the changing balance of assets, liabilities, and equity as the business progresses. Ideally, that progression shows a reduction in liabilities and an increase in equity over time.

While constructing these varied business projections, remember to be flexible. You likely will need to go back and forth between the different financial statements since working on one will necessitate changes to the others.

Sample Balance Sheet

Below is a simple balance sheet for the retail store:

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How to Create Financial Projections

When it comes to financial forecasting, simplicity is key. Your financial projections do not have to be overly sophisticated and complicated to impress, and convoluted projections likely will have the opposite effect on potential investors. Keep your tables and graphs simple and fill them with credible data that inspires confidence in your plan and vision. The below tips will help bolster your financial projections.  

Create a List of Assumptions

Your financial projections should be tied to a list of assumptions. For example, one assumption will be the initial monthly cash sales you achieve. Another assumption will be your monthly growth rate. As you can imagine, changing either of these assumptions will significantly impact your financial projections.

As a result, tie your income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statements to your assumptions. That way, if you change your assumptions, all of your financial projections automatically update.

Below are the key assumptions to include in your financial model:

For EACH essential product or service you offer:

• What is the number of units you expect to sell each month?
• What is your expected monthly sales growth rate?
• What is the average price that you will charge per product or service unit sold?
• How much do you expect to raise your prices each year?
• How much does it cost you to produce or deliver each unit sold?
• How much (if at all) do you expect your direct product costs to grow each year?

For EACH subscription/membership, you offer:

• What is the monthly/quarterly/annual price of your membership?
• How many members do you have now, or how many members do you expect to gain in the first month/quarter/year?
• What is your projected monthly/quarterly/annual growth rate in the number of members?
• What is your projected monthly/quarterly/annual member churn (the percentage of members that will cancel each month/quarter/year)?
• What is the average monthly/quarterly/annual direct cost to serve each member (if applicable)?

Cost Assumptions

• What is your monthly salary? What is the annual growth rate in your salary?
• What is your monthly salary for the rest of your team? What is the expected annual growth rate in your team’s salaries?
• What is your initial monthly marketing expense? What is the expected annual growth rate in your marketing expense?
• What is your initial monthly rent + utility expense? What is the expected annual growth rate in your rent + utility expense?
• What is your initial monthly insurance expense? What is the expected annual growth rate in your insurance expense?
• What is your initial monthly office supplies expense? What is the expected annual growth rate in your office supplies expense?
• What is your initial monthly cost for “other” expenses? What is the expected annual growth rate in your “other” expenses?

Capital Expenditures, Funding, Tax, and Balance Sheet Items

• How much money do you need for Capital Expenditures in your first year  (to buy computers, desks, equipment, space build-out, etc.)?
• How much other funding do you need right now?
• What percent of the funding will be financed by Debt (versus equity)?
• What Corporate Tax Rate would you like to apply to company profits?
• What is your Current Liabilities Turnover (in the number of days)?
• What are your Current Assets, excluding cash (in the number of days)?
• What is your Depreciation rate?
• What is your Amortization number of Years?
• What is the number of years in which your debt (loan) must be paid back?
• What is your Debt Payback interest rate?

Create Two Financial Projection Scenarios

It would be best if you used your assumptions to create two sets of financial projections that exhibit two very different scenarios. One is your best-case scenario, and the other is your worst-case. Investors are usually very interested in how a business plan will play out in both these scenarios, allowing them to better analyze the robustness and potential profitability of a business.  

Conduct a Ratio Analysis

Gain an understanding of average industry financial ratios, including operating ratios, profitability ratios, return on investment ratios, and the like. You can then compare your own estimates with these existing ratios to evaluate costs you may have overlooked or find historical financial data to support your projected performance. This ratio analysis helps ensure your financial projections are neither excessively optimistic nor excessively pessimistic.  

Be Realistic

It is easy to get carried away when dealing with estimates and you end up with very optimistic financial projections that will feel untenable to an objective audience. Investors are quick to notice and question inflated figures. Rather than excite investors, such scenarios will compromise your legitimacy.  

Create Multi-Year Financial Projections

The first year of your financial projections should be presented on a granular, monthly basis. For subsequent years, annual projections will suffice. It is advised to have three- or five-year projections ready when you start courting investors. Since your plan needs to be succinct, you can add yearly projections as appendices to your main plan.

You should now know how to create financial projections for your business plan. In addition to creating your full projections as their own document, you will need to insert your financial projections into your plan. In your executive summary, Insert your topline projections, that is, just your sales, gross margins, recurring expenses, EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization), and net income). In the financial plan section of your plan, insert your key assumptions and a little more detail than your topline projections. Include your full financial model in the appendix of your plan.

Other Helpful Business Plan Articles & Templates

How to Write a Financial Plan for a Business Plan

Noah Parsons

4 min. read

Updated July 11, 2024

Creating a financial plan for a business plan is often the most intimidating part for small business owners.

It’s also one of the most vital. Businesses with well-structured and accurate financial statements are more prepared to pitch to investors, receive funding, and achieve long-term success.

Thankfully, you don’t need an accounting degree to successfully create your budget and forecasts.

Here is everything you need to include in your business plan’s financial plan, along with optional performance metrics, funding specifics, mistakes to avoid , and free templates.

• Key components of a financial plan in business plans

A sound financial plan for a business plan is made up of six key components that help you easily track and forecast your business financials. They include your:

Sales forecast

What do you expect to sell in a given period? Segment and organize your sales projections with a personalized sales forecast based on your business type.

Subscription sales forecast

While not too different from traditional sales forecasts—there are a few specific terms and calculations you’ll need to know when forecasting sales for a subscription-based business.

Expense budget

Create, review, and revise your expense budget to keep your business on track and more easily predict future expenses.

How to forecast personnel costs

How much do your current, and future, employees’ pay, taxes, and benefits cost your business? Find out by forecasting your personnel costs.

Profit and loss forecast

Track how you make money and how much you spend by listing all of your revenue streams and expenses in your profit and loss statement.

Cash flow forecast

Manage and create projections for the inflow and outflow of cash by building a cash flow statement and forecast.

Balance sheet

Need a snapshot of your business’s financial position? Keep an eye on your assets, liabilities, and equity within the balance sheet.

What to include if you plan to pursue funding

Do you plan to pursue any form of funding or financing? If the answer is yes, you’ll need to include a few additional pieces of information as part of your business plan’s financial plan example.

Highlight any risks and assumptions

Every entrepreneur takes risks with the biggest being assumptions and guesses about the future. Just be sure to track and address these unknowns in your plan early on.

Plan your exit strategy

Investors will want to know your long-term plans as a business owner. While you don’t need to have all the details, it’s worth taking the time to think through how you eventually plan to leave your business.

• Financial ratios and metrics

With your financial statements and forecasts in place, you have all the numbers needed to calculate insightful financial ratios.

While including these metrics in your financial plan for a business plan is entirely optional, having them easily accessible can be valuable for tracking your performance and overall financial situation.

Key financial terms you should know

It’s not hard. Anybody who can run a business can understand these key financial terms. And every business owner and entrepreneur should know them.

Common business ratios

Unsure of which business ratios you should be using? Check out this list of key financial ratios that bankers, financial analysts, and investors will want to see.

Break-even analysis

Do you want to know when you’ll become profitable? Find out how much you need to sell to offset your production costs by conducting a break-even analysis.

How to calculate ROI

How much could a business decision be worth? Evaluate the efficiency or profitability by calculating the potential return on investment (ROI).

• How to improve your financial plan

Your financial statements are the core part of your business plan’s financial plan that you’ll revisit most often. Instead of worrying about getting it perfect the first time, check out the following resources to learn how to improve your projections over time.

Common mistakes with business forecasts

I was glad to be asked about common mistakes with startup financial projections. I read about 100 business plans per year, and I have this list of mistakes.

How to improve your financial projections

Learn how to improve your business financial projections by following these five basic guidelines.

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Noah is the COO at Palo Alto Software, makers of the online business plan app LivePlan. He started his career at Yahoo! and then helped start the user review site Epinions.com. From there he started a software distribution business in the UK before coming to Palo Alto Software to run the marketing and product teams.

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Writing a Business Plan—Financial Projections

Spell out your financial forecast in dollars and sense

Creating financial projections for your startup is both an art and a science. Although investors want to see cold, hard numbers, it can be difficult to predict your financial performance three years down the road, especially if you are still raising seed money. Regardless, short- and medium-term financial projections are a required part of your business plan if you want serious attention from investors.

The financial section of your business plan should include a sales forecast , expenses budget , cash flow statement , balance sheet , and a profit and loss statement . Be sure to follow the generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) set forth by the Financial Accounting Standards Board , a private-sector organization responsible for setting financial accounting and reporting standards in the U.S. If financial reporting is new territory for you, have an accountant review your projections.

Sales Forecast

As a startup business, you do not have past results to review, which can make forecasting sales difficult. It can be done, though, if you have a good understanding of the market you are entering and industry trends as a whole. In fact, sales forecasts based on a solid understanding of industry and market trends will show potential investors that you've done your homework and your forecast is more than just guesswork.

In practical terms, your forecast should be broken down by monthly sales with entries showing which units are being sold, their price points, and how many you expect to sell. When getting into the second year of your business plan and beyond, it's acceptable to reduce the forecast to quarterly sales. In fact, that's the case for most items in your business plan.

Expenses Budget

What you're selling has to cost something, and this budget is where you need to show your expenses. These include the cost to your business of the units being sold in addition to overhead. It's a good idea to break down your expenses by fixed costs and variable costs. For example, certain expenses will be the same or close to the same every month, including rent, insurance, and others. Some costs likely will vary month by month such as advertising or seasonal sales help.

Cash Flow Statement

As with your sales forecast, cash flow statements for a startup require doing some homework since you do not have historical data to use as a reference. This statement, in short, breaks down how much cash is coming into your business on a monthly basis vs. how much is going out. By using your sales forecasts and your expenses budget, you can estimate your cash flow intelligently.

Keep in mind that revenue often will trail sales, depending on the type of business you are operating. For example, if you have contracts with clients, they may not be paying for items they purchase until the month following delivery. Some clients may carry balances 60 or 90 days beyond delivery. You need to account for this lag when calculating exactly when you expect to see your revenue.

Profit and Loss Statement

Your P&L statement should take the information from your sales projections, expenses budget, and cash flow statement to project how much you expect in profits or losses through the three years included in your business plan. You should have a figure for each individual year as well as a figure for the full three-year period.

Balance Sheet

You provide a breakdown of all of your assets and liabilities in the balances sheet. Many of these assets and liabilities are items that go beyond monthly sales and expenses. For example, any property, equipment, or unsold inventory you own is an asset with a value that can be assigned to it. The same goes for outstanding invoices owed to you that have not been paid. Even though you don't have the cash in hand, you can count those invoices as assets. The amount you owe on a business loan or the amount you owe others on invoices you've not paid would count as liabilities. The balance is the difference between the value of everything you own vs. the value of everything you owe.

Break-Even Projection

If you've done a good job projecting your sales and expenses and inputting the numbers into a spreadsheet, you should be able to identify a date when your business breaks even—in other words, the date when you become profitable, with more money coming in than going out. As a startup business, this is not expected to happen overnight, but potential investors want to see that you have a date in mind and that you can support that projection with the numbers you've supplied in the financial section of your business plan.

Additional Tips

When putting together your financial projections, keep some general tips in mind:

• Get comfortable with spreadsheet software if you aren't already. It is the starting point for all financial projections and offers flexibility, allowing you to quickly change assumptions or weigh alternative scenarios. Microsoft Excel is the most common, and chances are you already have it on your computer. You can also buy special software packages to help with financial projections.
• Prepare a five-year projection . Don’t include this one in the business plan, since the further into the future you project, the harder it is to predict. However, have the projection available in case an investor asks for it.
• Offer two scenarios only . Investors will want to see a best-case and worst-case scenario, but don’t inundate your business plan with myriad medium-case scenarios. They likely will just cause confusion.
• Be reasonable and clear . As mentioned before, financial forecasting is as much art as science. You’ll have to assume certain things, such as your revenue growth, how your raw material and administrative costs will grow, and how effective you’ll be at collecting on accounts receivable. It’s best to be realistic in your projections as you try to recruit investors. If your industry is going through a contraction period and you’re projecting revenue growth of 20 percent a month, expect investors to see red flags.

Free Financial Projection and Forecasting Templates

By Andy Marker | January 3, 2024

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We’ve collected the top free financial projection and forecasting templates. These templates enable business owners, CFOs, accountants, and financial analysts to plan future growth, manage cash flow, attract investors, and make informed decisions.  On this page, you'll find many helpful, free, customizable financial projection and forecasting templates, including a  1 2-month financial projection template , a  startup financial projection template , a  3-year financial projection template , and a  small business financial forecast template , among others. You’ll also find details on the  elements in a financial projection template ,  types of financial projection and forecasting templates , and  related financial templates .

Simple Financial Projection Template

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Excel | Google Sheets  

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Excel | Google Sheets    

Small business owners and new entrepreneurs are the ideal users for this simple financial projection template. Just input your expected revenues and expenses. This template stands out due to its ease of use and focus on basic, straightforward financial planning, making it perfect for small-scale or early-stage businesses. Available with or without sample text, this tool offers clear financial oversight, better budget management, and informed decision-making regarding future business growth. 

Looking for help with your business plan? Check out these  free financial templates for a business plan to streamline the process of organizing your business's financial information and presenting it effectively to stakeholders.

Financial Forecast Template

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This template is perfect for businesses that require a detailed and all-encompassing forecast. Users can input various financial data, such as projected revenues, costs, and market trends, to generate a complete financial outlook. Available with or without example text, this template gives you a deeper understanding of your business's financial trajectory, aiding in strategic decision-making and long-term financial stability. 

These  free cash-flow forecast templates help you predict your business’s future cash inflows and outflows, allowing you to manage liquidity and optimize financial planning.

12-Month Financial Projection Template

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Use this 12-month financial projection template for better cash-flow management, more accurate budgeting, and enhanced readiness for short-term financial challenges and opportunities. Input estimated monthly revenues and expenses, tracking financial performance over the course of a year. Available with or without sample text, this template is ideal for business owners who need to focus on short-term financial planning. This tool allows you to respond quickly to market shifts and plan effectively for the business's crucial first year. 

Download  free sales forecasting templates to help your business predict future sales, enabling better inventory management, resource planning, and decision-making.

Startup Financial Projection Template

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This dynamic startup financial projection template is ideal for startup founders and entrepreneurs, as it's designed specifically for the unique needs of startups. Available with or without example text, this template focuses on clearly outlining a startup's initial financial trajectory, an essential component for attracting investors. Users can input projected revenues, startup costs, and funding sources to create a comprehensive financial forecast.

3-Year Financial Projection Template

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This three-year financial projection template is particularly useful for business strategists and financial planners who are looking for a medium-term financial planning tool. Input data such as projected revenues, expenses, and growth rates for the next three years. Available with or without sample text, this template lets you anticipate financial challenges and opportunities in the medium term, aiding in strategic decision-making and ensuring sustained business growth.

5-Year Financial Forecasting Template

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CFOs and long-term business planners can use this five-year financial forecasting template to get a clear, long-range financial vision. Available with or without example text, this template allows you to plan strategically and invest wisely, preparing your business for future market developments and opportunities. This unique tool offers an extensive outlook for your business’s financial strategy. Simply input detailed financial data spanning five years, including revenue projections, investment plans, and expected market growth. Visually engaging bar charts of key metrics help turn data into engaging narratives.

Small Business Financial Forecast Template

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Excel | Google Sheets 

The small business financial forecast template is tailored specifically for the scale and specific requirements of small enterprises. Business owners and financial managers can simply input data such as projected sales or expenses. Available with or without sample text, this tool offers the ability to do the following: envision straightforward financial planning; anticipate future financial needs and challenges; make informed decisions; and steer the business toward steady growth.

Elements in a Financial Projection Template

The elements in a financial projection template include future sales, costs, profits, and cash flow. This template illustrates expected receivables, payables, and break-even dates. This tool helps you plan for your business's financial future and growth.   

Here are the standard elements in a financial projection template:   

• Revenue Projection: This estimates future income from various sources over a specific period.
• Expense Forecast: This predicts future costs, including both fixed and variable expenses.
• Profit and Loss Forecast:  This projects the profit or loss by subtracting projected expenses from projected revenues.
• Cash-Flow Projection: This assesses the inflows and outflows of cash, indicating liquidity over time.
• Balance Sheet Projection: This predicts the future financial position, showing assets, liabilities, and equity.
• Break-Even Analysis: This calculates the point at which total revenues equal total costs.
• Capital Expenditure Forecast: This estimates future spending on fixed assets such as equipment or property.
• Debt Repayment Plan: This outlines the schedule for paying back any borrowed funds.
• Sales Forecast:  This predicts future sales volume, often broken down by product or service.
• Gross Margin Analysis:  This looks at the difference between revenue and cost of goods sold.

Types of Financial Projection and Forecasting Templates

There are many types of financial projection and forecasting templates: basic templates for small businesses; detailed ones for big companies; special ones for startup businesses; and others. There are also sales forecasts, cash-flow estimates, and profit and loss projections. 

In addition, financial projection and forecasting templates include long-term planning templates, break-even analyses, budget forecasts, and templates made for specific industries such as retail or manufacturing. 

Each template serves different financial planning needs. Determine which one best suits your requirements based on the scale of your business, the complexity of its financial structure, and the specific department that you want to analyze.

Here's a list of the top types of financial projection and forecasting templates:  

• Basic Financial Projection Template: Ideal for small businesses or startups, this template provides a straightforward approach to forecasting revenue, expenses, and cash flow.
• Detailed Financial Projection Template: Best for larger businesses or those with complex financial structures, this template offers in-depth projections, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash-flow statements.
• Startup Financial Projection Template: Tailored for startups, this template focuses on funding requirements and early-stage revenue forecasts, both crucial for attracting investors and planning initial operations. 
• Sales Forecasting Template:  Used by sales and marketing teams to predict future sales, this template helps you set targets and plan marketing strategies. 
• Cash-Flow Forecast Template: Essential for financial managers who need to monitor the liquidity of the business, this template projects cash inflows and outflows over a period. 
• Profit and Loss Forecast Template (P&L):  Useful for business owners and financial officers who need to anticipate profit margins, this template enables you to forecast revenues and expenses.  
• Three-Year / Five-Year Financial Projection Template: Suitable for long-term business planning, these templates provide a broader view of your company’s financial future, improving your development strategy and investor presentations. 
• Break-Even Analysis Template:  Used by business strategists and financial analysts, this template helps you determine when your business will become profitable. 
• Budget Forecasting Template:  Designed for budget managers, this template uses historical financial data to help you plan your future spending. 
• Sector-Specific Financial Projection Template:  Designed for specific industries (such as retail or manufacturing), these templates take into account industry-specific factors and benchmarks.

Related Financial Templates

Check out this list of free financial templates related to financial projections and forecasting. You'll find templates for budgeting, tracking profits and losses, planning your finances, and more. These tools help keep your company’s money matters organized and clear.

Free Project Budget Templates

Use one of these  project budget templates to maintain control over project finances, ensuring costs stay aligned with the allocated budget and improving overall financial management.

Free Monthly Budget Templates

Use one of these  monthly budget templates to effectively track and manage your business’s income and expenses, helping you plan financially and save money.

Free Expense Report Templates

Use one of these  expense report templates to systematically track and document all business-related expenditures, ensuring accurate reimbursement and efficient financial record-keeping.

Free Balance Sheet Templates

Use one of these  balance sheet templates to summarize your company's financial position at a given time.

Free Cash-Flow Forecast Templates

Use one of these  cash-flow forecast templates to predict future cash inflows and outflows, helping you manage liquidity and make informed financial decisions.

Free Cash-Flow Statement Templates

Use one of these  cash-flow statement templates to track the movement of cash in and out of your business, so you can assess your company’s level of liquidity and financial stability.

Free Discounted Cash-Flow (DCF) Templates

Use one of these  discounted cash-flow (DCF) templates to evaluate the profitability of investments or projects by calculating their present value based on future cash flows.

Free Financial Dashboard Templates

Use one of these  financial dashboard templates to get an at-a-glance view of key financial metrics, so you can make decisions quickly and manage finances effectively.

Related Customer Stories

Free financial planning templates.

Use one of these  financial planning templates to strategically organize and forecast future finances, helping you set realistic financial goals and ensure long-term business growth.

Free Profit and Loss (P&L) Templates

Use one of these  profit and loss (P&L) templates to systematically track income and expenses, giving you a clear picture of your company's profitability over a specific period.

Free Billing and Invoice Templates

Use one of these  billing and invoice templates to streamline the invoicing process and ensure that you bill clients accurately and professionally for services or products.

Plan and Manage Your Company’s Financial Future with Financial Projection and Forecasting Templates from Smartsheet

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How to Create Financial Projections for your Business Plan

• Last Updated: September 10, 2024
• By: StartUp 101

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Starting a business is an exciting time, but one that can come with some uncertainty. Writing out your business plan helps to increase your success significantly in addition to reducing some of the worries by getting all the ideas out of your head and organized on paper.

Financial projections are an essential component of the  business plan  to provide a realistic view as to whether or not your business is financially viable for success.

By creating financial plans, you are also able to test some of your assumptions to see the financial impact and analyze whether your business idea is feasible.

What are financial projections?

Financial projections (sometimes referred to as pro forma) are an essential part of a business plan. They are used to forecast a business’s expected sales and expenses and analyze the financial feasibility of the company. These forecasts evaluate past trends, current market conditions, and future expectations. They will also take into account regional sales potential and growth strategies and examine external and internal costs, such as the cost of customer acquisition and the amount of money you can afford to pay team members and yourself.

While it may be tempting to skip this step, not completing it could be costly.

Why are financial projections important?

Financial projections are one of the most critical steps in starting a small business. These figures help show you whether or not your business has a reasonable chance of being profitable. If your company does not reflect a profit based on your projections, you may have to make some adjustments. Financial projections can also help determine realistic price points and sales goals. They can also show you whether or not a profitable market even exists for the product or service you wish to provide.

The sales forecast is also useful in analyzing cash flows from accounts receivable and accounts payable to ensure the company has enough cash to operate.

Another reason financial projections are important is when requesting funding.  The bank will review whether you have realistic financial projections before making a business loan.

How to create financial projections?

It is important to understand that financial projections are simply the best estimates you can determine based on the information available.

These figures are next to impossible to predict accurately. While this financial forecast can’t predict how the business will perform in the future, it will provide the analysis to make informed decisions and plans for the business.

Financial projections are typically shown as a 12-month projection in the first year and by quarter in the second year and third year.

To begin with, your business plan financial projections, start by focusing on your revenue potential and likely expenses.

1. Create sales projections

Projecting sales projections (also known as revenue projections) for a new business is difficult, especially if you are new to the type of business you are starting. They are a few approaches you can consider when preparing the sales forecast.  Some companies will have multiple sources of revenue. To make these easier to follow, each revenue stream is often put on a separate line in the projections.

Average household spending  – The Consumer Expenditure Survey program from the  U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics  (scroll down to the Annual Calendar Year Tables) provides data on the expenditures of U.S. consumers. Using the average household spending multiplied by the population in your target area, you can come up with the total potential sales. Try not to get too carried away with your target area as it will have a significant impact on potential sales.

Using the BLS data, you can look up how much people spend on food and beverages (such as food at home, food away at home, bakery products, alcoholic beverages, etc.), appliances, apparel, education, reading – and the list goes on. This information can be assessed against demographic information such as age, income, education level, occupation, race, religion, and more.

Not only can you use this data to provide useful because you can use it to gauge the feasibility of your business. For instance, if there are three competitors in your market, and you need 10% of the market to make an adequate profit, this may be a good indication your business would be successful. If you needed 80% of the market, it would likely be much more challenging.

Trade associations –  Depending on the industry you are starting your business in, it’s likely there is an industry association. Do a Google search for “[type of business] industry association” or even find a Facebook group to join and ask questions. Many industry associations have statistics and formulas you can use to estimate sales. Make sure to reference your work, so the bank or prospective investors know you didn’t come up with these numbers out of thin air. Be sure to do your own due diligence as these numbers may be overly optimistic.

Menu of services –  Another way to project sales is to create a list of services to assess how many jobs you can do in a day and the pricing of each job.

For instance, if you own a  car detailing business and it takes 4 hours per vehicle to detail, you may be able to do up to two vehicles per day, ten vehicles a week, or 40 vehicles a month (you could squeeze in a few more in a month, but let’s keep the math easy for now).

Each vehicle brings in an average of $100 for a total monthly sales revenue of $4,000. Let’s say that after subtracting rent, utilities, supplies, advertising, etc, you are left with $2,000. Now you find that best case, you have a profit of $2,000, and by working 8 hours a day, you would make $12.50 per hour. Now you have to ask yourself that in this best-case scenario where you have clients lined up each and every day and you are making $12.50 per hour, is this business worth your time?

Regardless of how you project sales, be sure to explain the key assumptions in the business plan so the reader can follow the math!

2. Project operating expenses

Next, project the monthly operating expenses of the business. Some expenses are going to be easy to estimate, such as fixed costs like rent, insurance, and utilities. Other expenses need to be carefully examined as they can make a large difference in the projected profit.

The biggest expense for most businesses is the cost of goods sold, sometimes called COGS, cost of sales, or cost of inventory. This is the cost to produce the item being sold, such as the raw materials to produce it. A typical example is a wedding band sold at a jewelry store. The sales price to the customer may have been $1,000, but the jewelry store purchased it for $700. The cost of goods sold in this instance is $700. Many times COGS is represented as a percentage, which in this example would have been 70% ($700 /$1,000).

You can often find the average cost of goods for most businesses by searching for industry publications.

Another major expense for most businesses is employees. This number can be found for many industries as a percentage of sales; however, we would recommend you create a list of the positions needed, the number of employees for each position, the number of hours worked, and wages. By comparing the industry average with your own list, you can have some confidence your numbers are in the ballpark.

Make a list of the monthly expenses and the cost for those expenses to use later in the financial statements.

3. Seasonality

After getting the sales projections completed, you will also want to look at seasonality. Seasonality refers to the fluctuations in monthly sales. Some businesses will be affected more by seasonality than others, but it is important to analyze because it may show your business will run out of cash. Lenders and potential investors will expect some seasonality, but if you have a business that has steady sales, be sure to explain why your sales are consistent.

In most areas,  landscapers  are a common business that has fluctuating sales. The spring and fall are really busy, while in the winter, there is little to no work.

4. Financial projections

With the sales projections, expenses, and seasonality now out of the way, creating the pro forma financial statements are actually pretty straightforward.

Business plan financial forecasting is typically set up to show a three-year outlook. Depending on the project, especially if it is one that has a significant amount of research and development time before revenues start to come in, some banks and lenders will occasionally want to see a five-year outlook.

There will be three financial statements to create:

• Cash flow statement –  Similar to a detailed view of a checkbook, the projected cash flow statement  looks at cash coming in and cash going out of the business. Cash flow projections usually look at the first year broken out into 12 months, and the following two years by quarter.
• Profit and loss statement  – Also referred to as an income statement, this statement is an annual estimate of the taxable profits (or losses) of the business. The numbers in the P&L statement are similar to the cash flow statement; however, depreciation and amortization are also included.
• Balance sheet –  Not every bank will request a proforma balance sheet for a start-up business. The balance sheet is similar to a personal financial statement that looks at assets and liabilities to determine the net worth.

The balance sheet is projected at the end of each year.

5. Sources and uses of funds

The sources and uses of funds section provide an overview of the financing activities, use of working capital,  loan repayments, and how the money is spent.

The sources section is a list of where the money is coming from to fund the project. This will commonly have a line for the amount of the bank loan and another line for the amount the owner is investing in the business. Keep in mind when preparing this for the bank that most banks will want to see the business owner invest 15%-25% of their own funds in a start-up business.

The uses section provides details of all the startup costs for the business. Items are usually put into categories such as:

• Real estate
• Renovations

The amount in the sources section should equal the amount in the uses section.

Financial Projection Templates

There are free financial projection templates from  Smartsheet ,  Spreadsheet 123 , and others. LivePlan has a guided approach (like Turbo Tax) to creating financial projections that are pretty thorough and easy to use.

There are free financial projection templates from  Smartsheet ,  Spreadsheet 123 , and others.  LivePlan has a guided approach (like Turbo Tax) to creating financial projections that are pretty thorough and easy to use.

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Discover the Best Tools for Business Plans

Learn from the business planning experts, resources to help you get ahead, financial projections, table of contents.

Financial projections are not just a component of your business plan; they are the beating heart of strategic thinking and analysis in both startups and established businesses. These projections serve as a vital tool for setting targets, assessing key results, and understanding the reasons behind meeting or not meeting these targets. They enable businesses to recalibrate their strategies effectively, ensuring agility and responsiveness to market dynamics.

Essential for Diverse Business Needs

Apart from their critical role in internal analysis and strategy setting, financial projections are indispensable for a variety of external purposes:

• Raising Capital:  Whether you’re a startup aiming for seed funding or an established business seeking expansion capital, clear and well-structured financial projections can significantly increase your chances of securing investment .
• Regulatory and Legal Compliance:  Specific employment and investment visas, licensing, certification, and accreditation processes often require detailed financial projections to demonstrate the viability and potential of your business.
• Understanding Audiences:  Depending on the audience—whether investors, regulatory bodies, or partners—the nature and detail of the financial projections can vary. Our “Understanding Audiences” page provides in-depth insights into tailoring your projections for different stakeholders.

Versatility in Application

Financial projections can be a standalone document or part of a comprehensive business plan. Their structure and emphasis may vary based on the business’s objectives:

• Debt Financing:  For new businesses seeking loans , financial projections within a business plan help in demonstrating the capacity to repay the loan.
• Equity-Based Financing:  For businesses in stages like pre-seed, seed , or series A funding, standalone financial projections are crucial. They provide clarity on startup requirements, burn-rate , and runway , which are key factors investors evaluate.

Foundations of Effective Financial Projections

Crafting impactful financial projections is a detailed and systematic process, grounded in deep research and thorough data collection. To create a robust foundation for these projections, two distinct approaches are recommended, each suited to different types of businesses and their unique needs:

• Ideal for New and Innovative Ventures:  The Pre-Planning Process , detailed under Core Cost Analysis and Startup & Operational Costs in the “Get Started” section of Businessplan.com, is particularly beneficial for businesses that are in their nascent stages or are pioneering new markets.
• First-Movers and Fast-Followers:  For ventures that aim to be first-movers or fast-followers in emerging industries, this comprehensive approach is crucial to understand the uncharted market dynamics.
• Startups Eyeing Investment Capital:  Additionally, startups that plan to seek investment capital will find this process instrumental in laying a solid groundwork for their financial projections, giving potential investors a clear view of the business’s potential.
• Tailored for Established Industries:  Businesses operating within well-established industries, where market dynamics are relatively known and stable, will benefit significantly from using a Model-Based Planning® Worksheet .
• Focus on Speed and Efficiency:  This approach is designed for ventures where rapid planning and execution are prioritized. It provides a streamlined, industry-specific framework that accelerates the planning process.
• Customized to Specific Business Models:  The Worksheet is customized for a wide range of business models and industries, ensuring that the financial projections are relevant and aligned with industry standards and expectations.

By choosing the approach that best aligns with your business’s stage, industry, and goals, you can ensure that your financial projections are not only realistic and well-informed but also highly effective in guiding your business towards success.

Key Sections of Financial Projections

Key assumptions.

In financial planning for businesses, especially startups, the creation of key assumptions is critical. These assumptions form the backbone of your financial projections, influencing every aspect from revenue forecasting to cost management. Their accuracy and realism are crucial for developing a financial model that truly reflects the potential of your business.

The Role of Key Assumptions

Key assumptions serve multiple purposes:

• Simplifying Complexity : By categorizing diverse products or services into manageable units, Key Assumptions help in creating a more readable and practical financial model .
• Guiding Strategic Decisions:  These assumptions are instrumental in shaping business strategies, from marketing to product development.
• Facilitating Communication:  Clear and concise assumptions make your financial projections more understandable to stakeholders, including investors and team members.

Creating Effective Key Assumptions

To craft meaningful and effective Key Assumptions, consider the following steps:

• Understand Your Business Model:  Grasp the intricacies of your business, including product/service offerings, customer behavior, and market trends.
• Use Averages and Ratios:  Simplify complex product lines or service offerings into average sales figures or ratios.
• Research and Validate:  Ground your assumptions in market research or historical data, ensuring they are realistic and defendable.
• Think Creatively and Contextually:  Tailor your assumptions to the unique context of your business, avoiding one-size-fits-all templates.

Personnel Plan

A comprehensive personnel plan is an essential component of your business’s financial projections. It not only outlines the staffing requirements but also encapsulates the associated costs, playing a significant role in the overall financial health of your enterprise.

Part 1: Personnel Forecast

The Personnel Forecast is a detailed table that includes the following elements:

• Specific Roles/Positions:  Identify the various roles and positions needed within your company. This could range from managerial positions to operational staff.
• Average Salary or Hourly Rate:  For each position, determine the average salary or hourly wage. This should be based on industry standards, regional salary averages, and the level of expertise required.
• Headcount:  Specify the number of individuals needed for each role. This will depend on the scale of your operations and business needs.
• Total Payroll per Position:  Calculate the total payroll for each position by multiplying the average salary or hourly rate by the headcount.
• Total Payroll:  Summarize the total payroll expenses, combining the costs from all positions.

Part 2: Personnel-Related Notes for Other Financial Tables

In addition to the Personnel Forecast, certain personnel-related expenses will be input into other financial tables:

• Pre-Launch Training:  Costs associated with training employees before the business launch should be included in the ‘ Sources & Uses of Funds ‘ under ‘Startup Expenses’.
• Ongoing or Post-Launch Training:  Regular training or development costs incurred after the launch should be accounted for in the ‘Expenses’ section of the Pro Forma Profit & Loss statement.
• Total Benefits:  Include costs related to sick leave, vacation, 401K match, health insurance, etc., in the Pro Forma Profit & Loss statement. These benefits form a significant part of employee compensation and affect the overall financial planning.
• Payroll Taxes:  Calculate and include payroll taxes based on state and federal rates in the Pro Forma Profit & Loss statement. These taxes are a mandatory financial obligation and an integral part of payroll expenses.

Projecting Revenue

Projecting revenue is one of the most challenging aspects of business planning, primarily due to the uncertainties inherent in predicting future market behavior. However, strategic tools like Total Addressable Market (TAM) , Serviceable Available Market (SAM), and Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM) can significantly aid in this process.

Understanding TAM, SAM, and SOM

• Total Addressable Market (TAM):  TAM refers to the total market demand for a product or service. It’s the maximum revenue opportunity available for a product or service, assuming 100% market share.
• S erviceable Available Market (SAM):  SAM is the segment of the TAM targeted by your products and services that is within your geographical reach. It’s more realistic than TAM as it considers the market that is actually serviceable.
• Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM):  SOM, the most immediate and practical measure, is the portion of SAM that you can capture. It considers factors like competition, your unique value proposition, pricing strategy, and operational capacity. SOM is what you realistically aim to achieve in the short to medium term.

Utilizing Industry Reports for Revenue Projection

Industry reports, like those from IBISWorld , are invaluable in this process. They provide detailed insights, including a section on Cost Structure which outlines the average percentage of revenue spent on various expenses in your industry. Here’s how you can use this data:

• Estimate Revenue Based on Personnel Costs:  Given the detailed personnel plan you have, use the “Wages” percentage from the IBISWorld report. By dividing your total annual personnel costs by this percentage, you get an estimate of the annual revenue required to support your staff.
• Refine with SOM:  This initial estimate is a starting point. Refine it by applying the SOM concept. Assess how your company’s unique factors — like your value proposition , competitive landscape, and sales capacity — will influence your achievable market share. For example, if the SAM for your product is $100 million and you estimate that you can realistically capture 5% of this market based on your unique factors, your SOM would be $5 million.

While no method guarantees perfect revenue projections, using TAM, SAM, and SOM provides a structured approach to estimate potential sales. Industry reports like those from IBISWorld further refine these projections by grounding them in real-world data, making them more realistic and achievable. Always remember, these are estimates meant to guide planning and strategy, and they should be regularly reviewed and adjusted as your business grows and market conditions evolve.

Pro Forma Profit & Loss Statement

A Pro Forma Profit & Loss (P&L) Statement is a crucial financial document that projects your business’s revenues and expenses over a specific period. While industry reports like those from IBISWorld offer a high-level view of common expenses, creating a detailed and realistic P&L statement requires a deeper dive into your unique fixed and variable costs .

Utilizing Industry Reports with Caution

Industry reports provide average percentages for various cost categories such as marketing, depreciation, profit, rent, utilities, wages, and others. However, it’s vital to remember that these figures are averages derived from a wide range of companies. Your specific costs may differ significantly based on your business model, location, and operational strategy.

Steps to Develop a Pro Forma P&L Statement

• Rent:  Engage in preliminary discussions with landlords or commercial brokers to ascertain expected rent costs. Location and space requirements will significantly impact this expense.
• Marketing and Promotion:  Detail the components of your marketing, promotional, sales, and customer service strategies. Refer to the ‘ Strategy & Implementation ‘ section on Businessplan.com for guidance. Assess the costs associated with each element, considering both traditional and digital marketing channels.
• Operational Costs:  Identify and quantify your fixed and variable operational costs. Fixed costs might include utilities, insurance, and salaries, while variable costs could be tied to production levels, such as raw materials and shipping.
• Utilize your revenue projections (based on TAM, SAM, and SOM analyses) to estimate sales.
• List and quantify all anticipated expenses, separating them into fixed and variable categories. This is a good time to thoroughly review the Key Activities, Key Resources, and Key Partners in your business model.
• Gross Profit:  Subtract the cost of goods sold (COGS) from your total revenue.
• Net Profit:  Deduct all operational expenses, including fixed and variable costs, from the gross profit.
• Account for depreciation of assets and any applicable taxes to determine the final net profit.

A detailed Pro Forma P&L statement is a vital tool for any business. While industry reports offer a starting point, the specificity and accuracy of your projections will come from a deep understanding of your unique business costs and revenue potential. Regularly revisiting and updating this document is key to maintaining its relevance and usefulness as your business evolves.

Projected Cash Flow

A projected cash flow statement is an essential financial tool that helps map out the flow of cash in and out of your business. It’s a forecast of your company’s cash income and expenditures over a specific period and is crucial for managing liquidity and ensuring financial stability.

Creating a Cash Flow Projection

Estimate Cash Inflows:  Include all sources of income, such as sales revenue, investment income, and any other cash receipts. Consider the timing of these inflows, as delays in payment can significantly affect your cash flow.

Estimate Cash Outflows:  List all expected cash payments, including operating expenses, loan repayments, purchases of assets, and other expenditures. Timing is crucial here as well, particularly for seasonal businesses or those with irregular payment cycles.

Project Net Cash Flow:  Calculate the net cash flow for each period (monthly, quarterly, etc.) by subtracting cash outflows from cash inflows. This gives you a clear picture of when and where cash shortages or surpluses might occur.

Include Opening and Closing Balances:  Start with your opening cash balance (beginning of the period). Add the net cash flow to this opening balance to arrive at the closing balance (end of the period).

Projected Balance Sheet

The projected balance sheet is a financial statement that provides a snapshot of your company’s financial position at a future date. It includes assets , liabilities , and owner’s equity , projecting how these elements will change over time.

Preparing a Projected Balance Sheet

• Current Assets:  Include cash, accounts receivable , inventory , and other assets that are expected to be converted to cash within a year.
• Long-term Assets:  Include property, plant, equipment, and other assets that provide value over a longer period.
• Current Liabilities:  These are obligations due within a year, like accounts payable, short-term loans, and accrued expenses.
• Long-term Liabilities:  Include long-term debts, lease obligations, and other liabilities not due within the next year.
• Calculate Owner’s Equity:  Owner’s equity is the residual interest in the assets of the business after deducting liabilities. It includes initial investment, retained earnings, and any other equity contributions.
• Ensure the Fundamental Accounting Equation:  The balance sheet must follow the equation: Assets = Liabilities + Owner’s Equity. This equation must balance, which means the total value of the assets must equal the combined value of liabilities and owner’s equity.

Break-Even Analysis

Break-even analysis is a critical financial tool used to determine when a business will be able to cover all its expenses and start generating profit. Understanding the break-even point is vital for both new and existing businesses, as it informs pricing strategies, cost management, and funding requirements.

Break-Even for Different Business Types

• Established Market Entrants:  Businesses entering established markets (restaurants, dental offices, dry cleaners, etc.), possibly with debt financing like an SBA loan, typically have shorter break-even periods. These range from 6 to 18 months, depending on business complexity and market penetration strategies. For these businesses, the break-even point is crucial to manage debt and establish a foothold in the market.
• Venture-Backed Companies:  For startups (first-movers or fast-followers) creating new markets with novel solutions, the path to break-even is often longer. This is by design, as venture capitalists invest in these companies with the understanding that establishing or growing a new market takes time. These companies may operate for extended periods without breaking even, focusing on market creation and growth rather than immediate profitability.

Calculating the Break-Even Point

• The break-even point is calculated by dividing total fixed costs by the difference between unit price and variable cost per unit.
• Understanding fixed costs (like rent, salaries) and variable costs (costs that change with production volume) is essential for accurate calculation.

Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity analysis is a technique used to predict the outcome of a decision given a certain range of variables. In financial modeling , it involves testing how different values of an independent variable affect a particular dependent variable under a given set of assumptions.

Application in Revenue Projections

• Adjusting Revenue Projections:  Commonly, sensitivity analysis in business planning involves altering top-line revenue projections by a certain percentage. This helps in understanding how changes in sales will impact the business’s financial health.
• Scenarios for Sensitivity Analysis:  For example, a business may test how their financials would look if revenues are 15% lower than projected. Assessing different scenarios helps in preparing for various market conditions.
• Importance in Debt Financing:  Banks and financial institutions often use sensitivity analysis to determine if a business can still maintain a debt service coverage ratio above a certain threshold (e.g., 1.3) even if revenues fall short of projections. This analysis is crucial for businesses seeking loans, as it impacts the lender’s confidence in the business’s ability to repay debt.

Up Next: Strategy & Implementation

It’s essential to remember the critical role financial projections play in writing a business plan and guiding your business towards sustainable growth and success. Projections, built on a foundation of diligent research and detailed analysis, enable you to navigate the complexity of fundraising or business management with greater confidence and precision.

Financial projections empower you to set realistic targets, assess key results, and adapt strategies effectively in response to market dynamics. Your financial projections are not just numbers on a page; they are a reflection of your business’s potential and a roadmap for its future.

We encourage you to revisit and refine your financial projections regularly, aligning them with your evolving business landscape and market conditions. And remember, the journey doesn’t end here. To continue enhancing your business acumen and strategic planning, we invite you to explore the next critical step in the Plan & Pitch section: Strategy & Implementation . Here, you’ll get deeper into formulating effective strategies and actionable plans that will further elevate your business’s trajectory. Embrace this journey with the knowledge and tools you’ve acquired, and watch your business vision come to life, one well-planned step at a time.

Proceed to Strategy & Implementation

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Run » finance, how to create a financial forecast for a startup business plan.

Financial forecasting allows you to measure the progress of your new business by benchmarking performance against anticipated sales and costs.

When starting a new business, a financial forecast is an important tool for recruiting investors as well as for budgeting for your first months of operating. A financial forecast is used to predict the cash flow necessary to operate the company day-to-day and cover financial liabilities.

Many lenders and investors ask for a financial forecast as part of a business plan; however, with no sales under your belt, it can be tricky to estimate how much money you will need to cover your expenses. Here’s how to begin creating a financial forecast for a new business.

[Read more: Startup 2021: Business Plan Financials ]

Start with a sales forecast

A sales forecast attempts to predict what your monthly sales will be for up to 18 months after launching your business. Creating a sales forecast without any past results is a little difficult. In this case, many entrepreneurs make their predictions using industry trends, market analysis demonstrating the population of potential customers and consumer trends. A sales forecast shows investors and lenders that you have a solid understanding of your target market and a clear vision of who will buy your product or service.

A sales forecast typically breaks down monthly sales by unit and price point. Beyond year two of being in business, the sales forecast can be shown quarterly, instead of monthly. Most financial lenders and investors like to see a three-year sales forecast as part of your startup business plan.

Lower fixed costs mean less risk, which might be theoretical in business schools but are very concrete when you have rent and payroll checks to sign.

Tim Berry, president and founder of Palo Alto Software

Create an expenses budget

An expenses budget forecasts how much you anticipate spending during the first years of operating. This includes both your overhead costs and operating expenses — any financial spending that you anticipate during the course of running your business.

Most experts recommend breaking down your expenses forecast by fixed and variable costs. Fixed costs are things such as rent and payroll, while variable costs change depending on demand and sales — advertising and promotional expenses, for instance. Breaking down costs into these two categories can help you better budget and improve your profitability.

"Lower fixed costs mean less risk, which might be theoretical in business schools but are very concrete when you have rent and payroll checks to sign," Tim Berry, president and founder of Palo Alto Software, told Inc . "Most of your variable costs are in those direct costs that belong in your sales forecast, but there are also some variable expenses, like ads and rebates and such."

Project your break-even point

Together, your expenses budget and sales forecast paints a picture of your profitability. Your break-even projection is the date at which you believe your business will become profitable — when more money is earned than spent. Very few businesses are profitable overnight or even in their first year. Most businesses take two to three years to be profitable, but others take far longer: Tesla , for instance, took 18 years to see its first full-year profit.

Lenders and investors will be interested in your break-even point as a projection of when they can begin to recoup their investment. Likewise, your CFO or operations manager can make better decisions after measuring the company’s results against its forecasts.

[Read more: ​​ Startup 2021: Writing a Business Plan? Here’s How to Do It, Step by Step ]

Develop a cash flow projection

A cash flow statement (or projection, for a new business) shows the flow of dollars moving in and out of the business. This is based on the sales forecast, your balance sheet and other assumptions you’ve used to create your expenses projection.

“If you are starting a new business and do not have these historical financial statements, you start by projecting a cash-flow statement broken down into 12 months,” wrote Inc . The cash flow statement will include projected cash flows from operating, investing and financing your business activities.

Keep in mind that most business plans involve developing specific financial documents: income statements, pro formas and a balance sheet, for instance. These documents may be required by investors or lenders; financial projections can help inform the development of those statements and guide your business as it grows.

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What are Financial Projections and Why Do You Need Them?

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If you run a multimillion-dollar empire, it’s likely that your accounting staff is using enterprise-level software that can quickly and easily produce financial projections.

But if you’re a sole proprietor, freelancer, or micro-business owner, you’re likely to use data from your accounting software in order to prepare financial projections, but the software won’t help you in the preparation itself.

While that may sound confusing, it just means that most software applications such as QuickBooks Online , Sage 50cloud Accounting , and Xero can create the financial statements needed for you to prepare your financial projections, but the software itself will not be used in the actual creation of the projections.

At a glance: How you can create and utilize financial projections

• Three financial statements -- a balance sheet, income statement, and cash-flow statement -- are required for any financial projections you create.
• New businesses need financial projections, too. If you’re still in the planning stages, be aware that you will still need to prepare projections for your business plan.
• You’ll likely be using a template to prepare your projections. While accounting software provides the basis for your financial projections, most small business accounting software applications aren’t capable of producing financial projections.

Overview: What are financial projections?

Financial projections are an important part of managing your business. Preparing financial projections may seem like a daunting task for small business owners, but if you can create financial statements, you can create financial projections. Similar to creating a budget, financial projections are a way to forecast future revenue and expenses for your business.

Frequently used as a way to attract future investors, financial projections are also an important component when preparing a business plan for a new business or creating a strategic plan for your current business.

You can create both short-term and long-term financial projections, with most business owners using both types of projections:

Short-term projections: Short-term projections usually cover a year and are typically broken down by month.

Long-term projections : Long-term projections typically cover the next three to five years and are usually used when creating a strategic plan, or for attracting investors.

What are financial projections used for?

Financial projections can be used in a variety of ways, but they’re usually used to attract investors or when applying for a bank loan or line of credit.

Here are a few situations that would call for financial projections:

• You’re creating a business plan: One of the first things potential investors or banks want to see is a financial projection for your business, even if it isn’t operational yet.
• You’re hoping to attract investors: When looking to invest in a business, investors typically look for financial viability. No one will invest in a business without a financial projection that outlines variables such as expenses, revenue, and growth patterns.
• You’re applying for a loan or line of credit: Again, banks or other financial institutions are interested in the financial health of your business. This means providing them not just with current financial statements that outline current business performance, but also where you see your business next year, and the year after.
• You want to get a better handle on your business: You may not be in the market to attract investors or obtain a bank loan, but you do want to be able to map out your potential growth and create budgets allowing your business grow and thrive. Financial projections can help here, too.

How to create financial projections for your small business

When you’re creating financial projections for your business, the same information is required whether your business is up and running or still in the planning stages.

The difference is whether you can create your projections using historical financial data, or if you’ll need to start from scratch. This includes creating projections based on your own experience in the field, or by doing some market research in the industry in which your business will operate.

Step 1: Create a sales projection

Sales projections are an important component of your financial projections. For existing businesses, you can base your projections on past performance obtained from your financial statements. For instance, if your sales tend to be higher in the summer and fall, you’ll want to include that in your projections.

You’ll also need to take under consideration some outside factors, such as the current and projected health of the economy, whether your inventory may be affected by additional tariffs, and whether there’s been a downturn in your industry.

While we all want to be optimistic about our businesses, be sure to plan realistically.

This is one of Microsoft Excel's templates for sales forecasting. Image source: Author

Those still in the planning stages can follow the exact same plan (minus historical data), but you’ll need to do some additional research into the health of similar businesses in your proposed industry in order to plan as accurately as possible.

Step 2: Create an expense projection

Creating an expense projection may initially seem a bit simpler, because it’s easier to predict possible expenses than it is to predict the buying habits of current or potential customers.

For those working from history, you can predict with some certainty what your fixed expenses are, such as your rent or mortgage, along with recurring expenses such as utilities and payroll.

However, it’s much harder to predict those one-time expenses that have the potential to destroy your business.

What if the roof leaks in your business and destroys 75% of your inventory? What if you import the majority of your inventory from China, and you’re hit with escalating prices?

The “what ifs” can drive any of us crazy. All you can do is project expenses to the best of your ability, and maybe tack on an additional 15% to your initial number.

Step 3: Create a balance sheet projection

If you’re using accounting software and your business has been operational for at least a few months, you’ll be able to create a balance sheet directly from your software.

A balance sheet shows the financial position of your business, listing assets, liabilities, and equity balances for a particular time frame.

When creating your financial projections, you can use your current balance sheet totals to better predict where your business will be one to three years down the road.

For those of you in the planning stages, create a balance sheet based on the information you have collected from industry research.

Step 4: Create an income statement projection

Current business owners can easily create an income statement projection by using your current income statement to estimate your projected numbers.

This Excel template can be used to display revenue, cost of goods sold, expenses, and other income to identify net income. Image source: Author

An income statement provides a view of the net income of your business after things such as cost of goods sold, taxes, and other expenses have been subtracted.

This can give you a good idea of how your business is currently performing as well as serve as the basis for estimating net income for the next one to three years.

If you're in the planning stages, producing a possible income statement demonstrates that you’ve done your research and have created a good-faith estimate of your income for the next three years.

If you’re not sure where to start, visit market research firms such as Allied Market Research, which can give you an overview of your targeted industry, including product sales, target markets, and current and expected industry growth levels.

Step 5: Create a cash flow projection

The last step in completing your financial projection is the cash flow statement. The cash flow statement ties into both the income statement and the balance sheet, displaying any cash or cash-related activities that affect your business.

The cash flow statement shows how money is being spent, a must for those looking to attract an investor or obtain financing.

Again, you can use your current cash flow statement if your business has been operational for at least six months, while those of you in the start-up phase can use the data you’ve collected in order to create a credible cash flow projection.

Benefits of using accounting software for your financial projections

If you’re an existing business owner, you’re likely using accounting software to track your financial transactions. If so, the availability of financial reports such as a balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement are valuable resources when creating financial projections.

Here are some of the benefits of using accounting software:

• Accuracy: Unless you’re still in the planning stages, having the ability to create various financial reports and transactional histories from your software application helps to ensure your financial projections are based on accurate numbers.
• Availability of data: Being able to pull financial reports can go a long way in preparing financial projections. While you’ll likely create the projections themselves using a spreadsheet application such as Microsoft Excel, the data for your projections is readily available for you and others to access and review.
• Credibility: Being able to include supporting financial statements created by your accounting software with your financial projections lends credibility to your business and signals that you’re serious.

If you’re looking for a template to use to create financial projections, SCORE offers a downloadable financial projections template from Excel.

Finding the best way to create financial projections

While you’ll likely be using a template to create your financial projections, don’t underestimate the important role accounting software plays in creating accurate financial projections -- a necessity if you’re looking for investors or additional financing for your business.

If you’re still using manual ledgers or spreadsheet software to manage your business, it may be time to step up to the next level of professionalism by choosing and implementing an accounting software application that works for your business.

If you’re not sure which accounting software is right for you, be sure to check out our accounting software reviews .

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Financial Forecast in a Business Plan

Written by True Tamplin, BSc, CEPF®

Reviewed by subject matter experts.

Updated on September 12, 2024

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Table of contents, what is a financial forecast in a business plan.

A financial forecast in a business plan is a projection of the expected financial performance of a company over a specific period, often annually or quarterly. It provides insights into anticipated revenues, expenses, capital investments, and cash flows.

Rooted in both historical data and assumptions about future market conditions, this forecast helps stakeholders, including investors, lenders, and company leaders, gauge the business's potential profitability and financial health.

By comparing actual financial results with the forecast, businesses can identify gaps, make informed decisions, and adjust strategies accordingly.

Moreover, a well-constructed financial forecast demonstrates the company's understanding of its market and adds credibility to the business plan, increasing the likelihood of securing investments or loans.

In essence, it's a vital tool for planning, budgeting, and ensuring that a business remains on a sustainable financial trajectory.

Components of a Financial Forecast in a Business Plan

Sales and revenue forecast.

Businesses thrive on sales. Projecting future sales provides a cornerstone to any financial forecast. By analyzing market trends, past sales data, and growth strategies, businesses can predict revenue inflows.

This, in turn, dictates everything from inventory purchases to hiring strategies. In the ever-evolving marketplace, an accurate sales forecast is integral for optimal resource allocation and to prevent overhead costs that can cripple an enterprise.

Expense Forecast

As businesses strategize for growth, understanding expenditures becomes crucial. These can be both fixed, like rents and salaries, and variable, such as utility bills or raw material costs.

External factors like inflation, geopolitical scenarios, and supply chain disruptions can also influence business expenses. Therefore, an accurate expense forecast not only ensures sustainability but also charts out profitability margins.

Profit and Loss Statement (P&L Forecast)

Herein lies the essence of any business—profits. The P&L forecast provides a clear picture of the company's anticipated net profit or loss over a set period.

Distinguishing between gross profit, operational profit, and net profit helps streamline operations and understand where the bulk of revenues or costs stem from. A keen eye on this forecast can lead to timely interventions, ensuring financial stability.

Cash Flow Forecast

Cash is the lifeblood of a business. The cash flow forecast paints a picture of a business's liquidity by tracking both incoming and outgoing cash.

A well-managed cash flow ensures operational sustainability. A business might be profitable on paper, but if it lacks the liquidity to manage its immediate expenses, it can face significant hurdles.

Balance Sheet Forecast

A forward-looking balance sheet gives stakeholders a snapshot of a company's projected financial health, encompassing assets, liabilities, and owner’s equity.

Regularly updating and reviewing the balance sheet forecast can assist businesses in making informed financial decisions, whether it's taking on debt or making significant investments.

Capital Expenditure Forecast

For businesses looking towards expansion or major investments, the capital expenditure forecast is indispensable. It involves predictions related to expenses on assets that will benefit the business in the long run, like machinery, buildings, or technology.

Crucially, evaluating the potential return on these investments ensures that they generate value over time.

Importance of Financial Forecast in a Business Plan

Guide business strategies.

Financial forecasts are not just passive documents; they drive action. The insights derived from these forecasts shape a company's tactical and strategic decisions, ensuring alignment with financial expectations and goals.

Secure External Funding

For startups or businesses looking to expand, external funding often becomes essential. A robust financial forecast showcases the business's potential to prospective investors or lenders, bolstering its credibility and signaling its viability.

Risk Management

Financial projections serve as an early warning system. They highlight potential financial pitfalls, allowing businesses to devise countermeasures.

Whether it's diversifying sources of income, cutting down on non-essential expenses, or hedging against market volatility, these forecasts empower businesses to navigate challenges proactively.

Monitor Business Health

By juxtaposing actual financial outcomes with forecasts, businesses can gauge their performance. Discrepancies can lead to course corrections, ensuring that the business remains aligned with its broader financial and operational objectives.

Methods and Tools for Creating a Financial Forecast in a Business Plan

Quantitative methods.

Numbers often tell a compelling story. Time series analysis, econometric models, and other statistical tools provide a quantitative means to chart out a business's future. These rely heavily on historical data and established market trends to make informed predictions.

Qualitative Methods

Sometimes, numbers need a human touch. Techniques like the Delphi method or expert judgment pool insights from professionals to make predictions, especially when historical data might not be a reliable indicator.

While these methods might lack the objective precision of quantitative models, they provide valuable subjective insights, especially in rapidly evolving industries.

Modern Forecasting Tools

The digital age has democratized forecasting. Several software solutions, from simplistic spreadsheet templates to sophisticated AI-driven models, empower businesses to automate their financial forecasting processes.

Integration capabilities, real-time data processing, and advanced analytics further enhance their efficacy.

Challenges of Financial Forecast in a Business Plan

External economic factors.

While businesses can control their operations, external factors often remain unpredictable. Market volatilities, geopolitical events, or global crises can disrupt even the most meticulous forecasts, underscoring the importance of adaptability.

Internal Business Changes

Organizational restructuring, strategy pivots, or product launches can significantly alter a company's financial trajectory. Such internal changes necessitate regular revisions of the financial forecast to ensure it remains reflective of the business's evolving landscape.

Inherent Uncertainty

The future remains, by nature, uncertain. Even the most sophisticated forecasting models rely on assumptions and estimates.

Recognizing this inherent unpredictability, businesses should adopt a flexible approach, regularly revisiting their forecasts and adjusting them in light of new data or changing circumstances.

A financial forecast in a business plan is an indispensable tool that projects a company's future financial performance, derived from both historical data and future assumptions.

Essential components include sales and revenue predictions, expense projections, and comprehensive statements like the P&L and balance sheet forecasts.

The objective is not just to track figures but to guide strategy, secure funding, manage risks, and constantly monitor the company's financial health.

While modern tools and quantitative methods provide precision, qualitative insights capture the nuances of rapidly changing industries.

Challenges like external economic shifts, internal business alterations, and the inherent uncertainty of predicting the future underline the importance of flexibility and adaptability.

In essence, a robust financial forecast not only charts a course for a company's growth but also ensures it remains agile in the face of both expected and unforeseen challenges.

Financial Forecast in a Business Plan FAQs

Why is a financial forecast in a business plan crucial for startups.

A Financial Forecast in a Business Plan helps startups anticipate revenues and expenses, allowing them to strategize operations, secure funding, and ensure financial sustainability from the onset.

How often should a company update its Financial Forecast in a Business Plan?

While the frequency may vary depending on the industry and market dynamics, it's generally recommended to revisit and update the Financial Forecast in a Business Plan at least annually or when significant internal or external changes occur.

Can I create a Financial Forecast in a Business Plan without prior financial data?

Yes, startups and new businesses often rely on industry benchmarks, market research, and qualitative methods to create a Financial Forecast in a Business Plan, even without historical financial data.

How accurate is the Financial Forecast in a Business Plan?

While every effort is made to ensure accuracy, a Financial Forecast in a Business Plan is based on assumptions, projections, and available data. External factors and unforeseen changes can affect outcomes, making it essential to revisit and adjust forecasts regularly.

What tools can I use to automate the Financial Forecast in a Business Plan?

There are various software solutions, ranging from spreadsheet templates to sophisticated AI-driven platforms, designed to help businesses automate and enhance the accuracy of their Financial Forecast in a Business.

About the Author

True Tamplin, BSc, CEPF®

True Tamplin is a published author, public speaker, CEO of UpDigital, and founder of Finance Strategists.

True is a Certified Educator in Personal Finance (CEPF®), author of The Handy Financial Ratios Guide , a member of the Society for Advancing Business Editing and Writing, contributes to his financial education site, Finance Strategists, and has spoken to various financial communities such as the CFA Institute, as well as university students like his Alma mater, Biola University , where he received a bachelor of science in business and data analytics.

To learn more about True, visit his personal website or view his author profiles on Amazon , Nasdaq and Forbes .

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Does your business plan need a push?

Writting a business plan can be a springboard exercise for your business, and it's not as difficult as people think. All it takes is a bit of method, and some efficient tools. The good news our free articles and paid course have you covered!

Resources on Business Plan Writing :

An article of the Accelerated MBA written by:

Antoine Martin (Ph.D) | Business coach

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In this article:

Financial projections: how to write the financial plan in business plan.

So, you’ve decided to write a business plan? Good for you! It’s an important document that will help you outline your business goals, strategies, and tactics.

But it’s not just a document for you, as the business owner in charge of everything – it’s also important for potential investors and lenders.

In particular, one of the most important sections of your business plan should be your financial plan or, in other words, your overall financial projections for the next few years – understand, three to five years – distilled in a specific and highly codified format.

Why? Because the financial projections in a business plan are the numbers’ version of your pitch – if something doesn’t add-up, that’s where you see it.

Now, we know that numbers can be impressive (not to say daunting), so in this post, we’ll explain to you how to write a financial plan in your business plan.

We’ll also explain the logic you are supposed to follow to do things right (because financiers expect you to follow a very specific logic).

And we’ll explain what your business plan absolutely needs to include from a financial standpoint.

If that makes sense to you, then let’s get going!

By the way…

Before we dig into the financial projections’ discussion, let us give you a tiny bit of background!

We are professional business coaches, and our job is to push entrepreneurs and business owners to their next steps.

Business planning and business plans are part of that, obviously, therefore we have written a series of free articles on how to write a business plan – of which this page is a part.

We are on a mission to make entrepreneurship fun and accessible, so we provide about 80 percent of our content for free – including a free business plan template to be downloaded down this page.

Still, in case that’s not sufficient, we’ve also created our Business Plan Builder Module , which has been designed to make your life super easy.

Shameless plug: it gives you access to:

• a complete and solid business plan writing work-frame tool
• automated financial tables that take the hassle away (yayyy!)
• two designer-made templates (comprehensive + pitch deck)
• and two hours of tutorial videos recorded with a business coach to explain all the logic you’ll need to master if you plan on writing a business plan that converts.

There’s simply no way to make things easier!

Now, having said that, let’s get going.

As a reminder, what is a business plan about?

To start the discussion, remember that a business plan is about much more than just numbers. As we’ve explained in our article What are Business Plans For? , the role of such a document is to show that beyond a nice business plan pdf nobody really cares about, you have a real business and a plan to get it somewhere.

First, a business plan’s purpose is to help you explain what your project is about. In that sense, the document you need to write should be written as a storytelling instrument, designed, and formulated to tell people a story they will want to read AND remember.

Second, it should give you a way to showcase your main business objectives for the next few years, as well as the strategy you will put into place to get there and deliver on your promises.

Third, your business plan should also provide a market analysis, and a description of your main target segment. That gives the reader a better understanding of your ecosystem’s potential, but more importantly the exercise forces you to look around, open your eyes and do some meaningful research.

You wouldn’t want to drive blindfolded, would you?

Of course, your document should also have a financial component – which is the topic of this article – and there the challenge is to ensure that your financial projections make sense, that they are clear, accurate and easy to follow.

Long things short, investors and bankers expect you to match a very specific business plan outline and format (there’s a code!) and you don’t have much wiggle room there – so be careful in your approach!

What is a Financial Plan & what should it include?

Now, let’s get into the core of this article: financial plans and financial projections. What are they, why are they important – there is a lot to explore.

First things first, what is a financial plan? How important is it in a business plan? And what type of elements is it made of? What are the projected financial statements you need to provide? Oh, and what do we mean by ‘financial projections’ in the first place, by the way?

What is the role of a financial plan in business plan?

A financial plan is the financial part of your business plan. Its purpose is simple: explain to the reader what should be the ins and outs of your project from a financial perspective, and help them see if their own business projections are aligned with yours.

On the one hand, the idea is to put numbers on your project, to make it tangible and show that your vision includes the end and the means.

On the other, it is also to show that you are capable of defending your big idea as well as the projected financials that need to come with it – something that many wannabe entrepreneurs are actually unable to do…

As a side note, and as silly as that might sound, this means that your business plan should include a lot more than just a financial plan and a smart cash flow projection!

That point brings us back to the one we made earlier when we said that a business plan should follow a specific structure (go read that article!), but we mention it again because we want things to be very clear: your business plan should be a matter of storytelling, not just a matter of financial projections!

Typically, we often see accountants work on business plans, and what they produce is rarely enough because they only deliver financial estimates that make no real sense to non-accountants (even less to the entrepreneurs at stake) and leave aside the rest of the topics – particularly the storytelling!

Said differently? The numbers are one aspect of the story, but you still have to come up with the pitch – which is where the rest of the business plan comes in handy.

Make sure to deliver an easy-to-read mix!

Your financial plan must provide your financial projections

To get into the technical part of the discussion, the financial plan in your business plan should include your financial projections, organized in a very formal format.

That makes two distinct points to consider!

On the one hand, you should be able to show with clear numbers what money should come in and when (that’s the income forecasts), for this year but also for the next, the ones after that for three to five years.

On the other, you should also be able to show what money needs to go out to make the business roll. What are the production costs, the fixed and variable expenses, the salaries, and of course the various marketing expenses needed to generate the development you are planning on getting to.

On that point, remember that your cost of client acquisition should also be part of the formalized projections – otherwise your numbers will be flawed (and doomed).

Ultimately, you need to be very clear as to when your new business (or existing business) should break even, as to when should profits be expected, as to when lenders and investors will get their money back, so forth and so on.

It must include specific financial documents people will expect to see

From a very formal perspective, you shouldn’t be trying to make one single projection sheet. Nope! Your readers will expect to see three important financial documents in the financial section of the business plan you will introduce to them.

• A profit and loss statement – also known as your P&L statement, or as an income statement
• A cash flow statement
• And a balance sheet.

First, the P&L table or income statement should show what money is expected to come in or go out, but it should also show if and when the business will make a profit or a loss, year by year, for the next five years.

The sales forecast and the operating expenses should be easy to understand at that stage, and you should also be able to provide your estimated gross profit, your gross margin, as well as your net profit and net margin.

In case you are wondering, your gross profit corresponds to your sales minus your cost of production. Your net profit corresponds to the gross profit minus all the remaining costs.

It’s okay to read that twice…

Not being profitable is also okay, by the way. That’s the game. However, you must be able to explain why you won’t be profitable in a given year, and how you plan on filling the gap in the bank – otherwise your business dies, right?

Second, the cashflow statement should explain your cash flow management strategy and indicate when you will need to fill the bank account in, and why.

For instance, important account receivables could justify a temporary cashflow need, but the gaps left from the previous years should also be visible. Obviously, the funding needs should also be there and aligned with the financial situation of the business.

Third, the balance sheet is a summary of the previous two tables, except that it shows the various elements in terms of assets or liabilities. For instance, the account receivables we mentioned just before would be an asset (because some money is owed to the business) while account payables would be a liability (since the business owes money to someone else).

Does all this sound a little complex?

That’s because it is.

No need to worry, though. We have you covered and will provide all the templates and tools you need further below. For now, just keep reading.

So, what’s the financial plan in a business plan for?

To conclude, the financial plan in business plan should act as a financial cartography of what you have in mind for that business of yours.

• The financial plan should illustrate the plan you have for the business in terms of numbers
• It should include precise financial projections of what you think can be achieved
• It should clearly illustrate your cashflow management strategy
• And it should summarize the information clearly
• All of this through highly standardized tables financiers will understand very easily

What documents should a financial business plan contain?

Getting your financial business plan right is a lot simpler than it seems.

Now, when you’re pitching that business of yours to potential partners, investors or lenders, you’ll need to provide them with a series of financial statements.

Yet, how to produce those documents without jumping into a living nightmare? How to come up with cash flow projections that make sense instead of being purely random?

Word of caution: financial planning for businesses is typically complex.

The question is not only fair, but it is also super-duper common and literally blocks tons of entrepreneurs and small business owners on a daily basis.

Because financial planning for businesses is typically complex.

Because most people aren’t comfortable with numbers.

And because the vast majority of small business owners simply don’t know where to start.

That’s probably why you were looking for either a financial plan pdf template or an example of financial plan for small business owners a few minutes ago, isn’t it?

Typically, here is what happens.

Some try and do their best, but then they don’t feel confident with pitching and defending their financial analysis, so they keep delaying and nothing happens.

Others end up having recourse to external help, even though external business plan consultants usually aren’t a good idea at that stage.

And the rest gives up.

That’s a shame, especially if consider that financial planning for a small business and building a financial plan for a business plan are only a matter of having access to the right method and tools!

Yes, a big (big) part of the work is to guestimate, but the rest is about trusting the process with the right logic, method and tools – and there’s nothing you can’t manage here.

Especially with the right tools!

How to build your financial forecasts?

Now that you understand the different sections of a financial plan, let us talk about how to build financial forecasting.

In plain English, this part of the exercise is where you’ll estimate your company’s income and expenses for the next few years. Therefore, you should keep a few things in mind.

One, you need to have a good understanding of your business in order to create realistic forecasts.

Sounds silly? Maybe, but this is a mistake people make way too much, and when they fail at justifying their financial projections, everything else goes down.

Two, you absolutely want to make sure that your projections can explore various trends, i.e. your pessimistic, optimistic, and most likely scenarios.

• If everything goes extremely well, we’ll get there.
• If everything goes wrong, we’ll get there.
• But… we should reasonably expect to achieve this and that if we obtain the funding we need…

Can you see the idea?

Be sure to also factor in any potential changes or risks that could affect your business.

For example, if you’re expecting a new competitor to enter the market, you’ll need to account for that in your projections. By being realistic and accounting for as many variables as possible, you’ll give yourself the best chance of success so give it some thought!

Pragmatically, how do I come up with reasonable financial forecasts for my business plan?

It’s all a question of common sense, really.

• How much do you plan on selling?
• What are your short, medium and long term financial goals?
• What would be the cost of production?
• What margin does that leave you with?
• What fixed costs would you expect?
• How about variable costs?
• Have you included transaction fees and credit card fees in your costs?
• What is the cost of insurance premiums?
• Will there be any debt to repay?
• What type of budget do you need for marketing purposes?
• What is the cost of acquisition of the client?
• What operational margin does it leave before the taxman comes in?
• What kind of money do you need to meet your long term goals?
• Have you planned for any emergency fund at all?

Right, that’s a long list. But! Answering those questions should give you a strong basis to build financial projections that make sense, because that’s literally how you would read your income statement in the end.

If you were trying to translate boring numbers into a meaningful story, that’s exactly where you would start!

Again, we have you covered with all this.

If you are looking for a concrete and practical financial plan example, make sure to download our business plan template down the page. It will give you the basic pro forma financials you’ll need.

If you need to understand the logic behind the template and would rather use an automated spreadsheet to get everything done, however, then it’s time to stop struggling.

The Impactified Business Plan Builder will provide everything you need: the automated tables and two hours of business coaching videos designed to explain all the logic you’ll need – what are you waiting for?

Why Are Financial Projections so Important in the end?

So, overall, why is creating financial projections so important? Are there various types of financial projections anyway? There are several things to keep in mind here.

First, your financial projections are important because they give bankers and investors the numbers they need (to make an informed decision) in a format they expect to see.

Second, your projections show whether your strategy is aligned with the means at your disposal to achieve it and whether you are aware of the financial engineering required to make your business roll.

Third, and in a related way, forecasts will give you, as the entrepreneur in charge, an opportunity to show if you understand the business for real (or if someone else not present during the discussion wrote the plan for you).

All of these documents are important, but you (nobody else!) will need to be able to tell a story around them.

Investors aren’t just looking for numbers! They invest in teams and people before investing in projects, so they want to know that you understand your business and that you have a plan for the future!

So, make sure your financial projections are accurate and be prepared to answer any questions investors have about them.

Understanding the investment process

To understand how to handle the exercise properly, understanding the investment and funding process in general is important.

What do bankers and investors expect when they are looking at a business plan? How do they decide whether to invest or not? And how do the financial projections help them make that decision?

In short, investors are looking for a return on their investment. So, they want to know what they can expect to earn from their investment, and how that compares to the risks they’re taking.

Your projected income statement is important there, but so are your cashflow projections!

Your financial estimates should therefore show how your business will grow and what profits you’ll generate, both in the short-term and long-term. This information will help investors determine whether or not your business is a good investment.

In contrast, bankers have a much lower risk tolerance and are not interested in funding you – they lend money to those who have money to repay the debt (or some assets to engage as collateral in case something goes wrong). Hence, what they look for is not a high return on investment based on risk, but a repayment capacity based on predictability and wise financial management.

Said differently? You need to create financial projections that make sense and adapt your financial pitch to your audience accordingly.

Show investors that there is a great opportunity to make money at a later stage and show bankers you will be able to start repaying as soon as possible.

Again, if you need to explore the question of investors’ mindsets, we elaborate on that in our video module – it’s time to give it a try!

Business valuation and exit thinking

Last but not least, understanding the investment process means that you also need to start thinking in terms of valuation and exit.

Or, said differently, the financial plan in your business plan must lead you to think about what your business will be worth a few years from now, and about how you will be able to make money (for you and your investment partners) by selling it.

On the one hand, exit thinking relates to the idea that investors invest in a business with the expectation that the business will raise more money later on, at which stage a larger investor will come in and buy the existing investors out.

To make your investors some money, therefore, you have to start thinking in terms of exiting the business at some point – which means progressively turning the business into an asset that works on its own, for you and as much as possible without you.

This mindset is absolutely key – think about it!

On the other hand, the discussion leads us to think in terms of business valuation – understand, how much is the business worth, and how much could it be sold for.

That topic is probably getting too technical for this article’s discussion, so we’ll explore it in another post.

Meanwhile, make sure to listen to the exit & valuation video in The Business Plan Builder module . We explain all this and even go as far as giving you an automated valuation calculator in the financial tables part of the tool – again, you have no excuse!

Avoiding the typical mistakes small businesses make with financial planning

To finish with the discussion, what should you keep in mind if you wanted to turn your financial plan into an asset that generates money rather than frustration?

Like it or not, but small business financial planning isn’t an intuitive thing and people tend to make very typical mistakes you should avoid at all costs!

Know your business

First piece of advice, you really (really, really) want to know your business from every angle.

When you are writing the financial plan in your business plan, it’s important to remember that your projections should represent an estimate of future performance. That’s how investors and lenders will read your numbers anyway.

So, your financial projections and forecasts should be based on realistic assumptions and calculations that you should always be prepared to adjust as needed.

In order to make accurate projections, it is therefore extremely important to have a good understanding of your business and the industry it operates in. You should also consult with industry experts and other professionals who can help you make informed decisions about your business.

Do the exercise yourself!

When you’re writing your financial plan, it’s important to avoid making common mistakes. One of the most common errors is underestimating how much money your business will need to operate.

Another is to rely on business plan consultants to write your financial projections without being able to understand the numbers yourself. This can lead to mistakes if the numbers are incorrect, and it can lead to embarrassing ahem! moments if you can’t explain how this or that number ended up in the document.

The best way to ensure accuracy is to do the exercise yourself with the right tools in hand and the brainstorming support of someone you trust to challenge your thoughts and conclusions.

This can be done with your acting CFO or close financial advisor if you have one, or with a fellow entrepreneur if anyone around you has the right mindset to dig into the discussion with you.

Alternatively, hiring a business coach is another way to brainstorm and challenge yourself – follow the link to find out more about that.

Don’t be a tourist. That’s stupid.

Third piece of advice: don’t enter into a discussion with a potential partner as a tourist – this is stupid, and that could very well kill you.

We have seen countless entrepreneurs walk into a room (let alone into a large startup event) saying that they were raising money for their startup. Yet, more often than not, their financial targets are not set or beyond approximative, which means they can’t explain why they need money and how they are going to spend it.

When you do that, the only thing you do is be stupid and make sure everyone knows about it.

First, because they won’t take you seriously. Would you invest money into someone who can’t tell you how they’ll use it and with what return on investment expectations?

And second, because the people you talk to will most likely ask you to come back to them once you have more information to provide. Which either means “don’t come back before six months to a year” or “please don’t come back at all, I have better things to do with my time and more competent people to talk to”.

Don’t be a tourist or you’ll just burn yourself. That’s stupid.

Turn your numbers into a story

The fourth piece of advice is going to be a repeat from earlier, but it’s important so let’s be redundant.

Now that you’ve written your financial projections, it’s time to go beyond the numbers and start telling your business story. The financial plan in your business plan is a great place to start but remember that it’s just one part of your overall pitch.

You’ll also need to be ready to pitch your idea, product, or service, and be ready to defend your financial plan against questions from investors or lenders.

Think holistically and build a story people will want to listen to, remember and act on. Period!

TL;DR: Get your financial projections right!

Now that you understand the different components of a financial plan, it’s time to learn how to write it. The key to writing a good financial plan is to be realistic. Don’t make assumptions that are unrealistic or impossible to achieve.

Start by estimating your sales and expenses for the first year of business. Be as specific as possible, and remember to include both fixed and variable costs. From there, you can create a cash flow statement that shows how your business will generate and spend money over time.

The goal of a financial plan is to paint a realistic picture of your business’s financial future. So make sure to update your plan as your business changes and grows. With careful planning and accurate numbers, you can ensure that your business will be successful for years to come.

What should your business plan financial plan include?

• A profit and loss statement – also known as your P&L statement, or as an income statement
• A cash flow statement showing if your business plan financial projections are realistic

What is the purpose of your business plan’s financial projections?

• To how the plan you have for the business in terms of numbers
• To show a financial overview of what you think can be achieved, by when, with what means
• To show you have a cashflow management strategy that makes sense
• To show you understand the standardized expectations and know how to play by the book
• To show that, overall, your business proposal makes sense whatever the angle!

Need a reliable template and video tutorial to get your financial business plan & financial projections right?

It’s built around over 2 hours of explanatory videos and comes with everything you’ll need to:

• Figure out what you need to figure out – powerful, uh?
• Understand the business plan code!
• Write a top business plan – with just the right amount of words and pages!
• Build your financial estimates – with an automated financial projections template excel spreadsheet!
• Create a visually appealing pitch deck people will want to read thanks to our designer-made templates!

If you want to stop wasting your time, this is THE most simple business plan template, and you can’t afford to miss it!

Wanna’ start with something free? Our free business plan template is also here to help !

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Topics related to Financial Projections: How to write the financial plan in business plan:

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More Insights on Business Plan Writing

Hey coach! I’m writing a business plan and I’m wondering how to build the financial projections part of the document. What’s the importance of financial projections exactly – I mean, isn’t it absolute BS? How do I write the financial plan in business plan, and even more importantly, how can I make sense of all those messy tables? Can you help me understand this? Thanks in advance!

Do I Need a Business Plan Consultant? No, You Don’t!

Hey there Coach! I’m a small business owner and I need to find some support with my business plan. People suggested that I find a business plan consultant near me, but that’s a big cost and I’m not too sure about what to expect from that. What’s your opinion about business plan consultants in general? Is there any alternative you would highly recommend? Thanks!

How Much Does a Business Plan Cost? Just Under $100!

Hey coach! I was wondering – how much does a business plan cost? I need one, and I’m thinking about having it written for me, so I’d love your insights. Also, I’ve heard business plan writers cost a lot of money, so I’m interested if you have tips for writing a low-cost business plan! Thanks!

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Home » Business Plans

How to Write a Business Plan Financial Projection [Sample Template]

How do you prepare a business plan financial statement? Do you need help developing business plan financial projections? Do you need a business plan projections template? Then i advice you read on because this article is for you.

What is a Business Plan Financial Statement?

The financial statement is a distinct section of your business plan because it outlines your financial projections. A business lives and dies based on its financial feasibility and most importantly its profitability. Regardless of how hard you work or how much you have invested of your time and money, people, at the end of the day, only want to support something that can return their investments with profits.

Your executive summary may be brilliantly crafted, and your market or industry analysis may be the bomb. But your business plan isn’t just complete without a financial statement to justify it with good figures on the bottom line.

Your financial statement is what makes or mars your chances of obtaining a bank loan or attracting investors to your business. Even if you don’t need financing from a third party, compiling a financial statement will help you steer your business to success. So, before we dig further into how to prepare a financial statement, you need to understand what a financial statement is not.

What’s the Difference Between a Financial Projection Statement and Accounting Statement?

However, you need to keep in mind that the financial statement is not the same as an accounting statement. Granted, a financial statement includes financial projections such as profit and loss, balance sheets, and cash flow, all of which makes it look similar to an accounting statement.

But the major difference between them is that an accounting statement deals with the past, while the financial projections statement of your business plan outlines your future spending and earnings. Having made this point clear, let’s now look at the steps involved on preparing a financial statement for your business plan.

So what exactly do you have to include in this section? You will need to include three statements:

• Income Statement
• Balance Sheet
• Cash-Flow Statement

Now, let’s briefly discuss each.

Components of a Business Plan Financial Statement

Income statement.

This beautiful composition of numbers tells the reader what exactly your sources of revenue are and which expenses you spent your money on to arrive at the bottom line. Essentially, for a given time period, the income statement states the profit or loss ( revenue-expenses ) that you made.

Balance sheet

The key word here is “ balance, ” but you are probably wondering what exactly needs to be weighed, right? On one side you should list all your assets ( what you own ) and on the other side, all your liabilities ( what you owe ), thereby giving a snapshot of your net worth ( assets – liabilities = equity ).

Cash flow statement

This statement is similar to your income statement with one important difference; it takes into account just when revenues are actually collected and when expenses are paid. When the cash you have coming in ( collected revenue ) is greater than the cash you have going out ( disbursements ), your cash flow is said to be positive.

And when the opposite scenario is true, your cash flow is negative. Ideally, your cash flow statement will allow you to recognize where cash is low, when you might have a surplus, and how to be on top of your game when operating in an uncertain environment.

How to Prepare a Business Plan Financial Projections Statement

1. Start by preparing a revenue forecast and a forecast profit and loss statement

Also, prepare supporting schedules with detailed information about your projected personnel and marketing costs. If your business has few fixed assets or it’s just a cash business without significant receivables, you don’t need a forecast balance sheet.

2. Using your planned revenue model, prepare a spreadsheet

Set the key variables in such a way that they can be easily changed as your calculations chain through. To ensure that your projected revenues are realistic and attainable, run your draft through a number of iterations. For each year covered in your business plan, prepare a monthly forecast of revenues and spending.

3. If you plan to sell any goods, then include a forecast of goods sold

This applies the most to manufacturing businesses. Give a reasonable estimate for this cost. And be of the assumption that the efficiency of your products would increase with time and the cost of goods sold as a percentage of sales will decline.

4. Quantify your marketing plan

Look at each marketing strategy you outlined in the business plan and attach specific costs to each of them. That is, if you are looking at billboard advertising, TV advertising, and online marketing methods such as pay-per-click advertising and so on; then you should estimate the cost of each medium and have it documented.

5. Forecast the cost of running the business, including general and administrative costs

Also, forecast the cost of utilities, rents, and other recurring costs. Don’t leave out any category of expenses that is required to run your business. And don’t forget the cost of professional services such as accounting and legal services.

6. In the form of a spreadsheet, forecast the payroll

This outlines each individual that you plan to hire, the month they will start work, and their salary. Also include the percentage salary increases (due to increased cost of living and as reward for exemplary performance) that will come in the second and subsequent years of the forecast.

Additional tips for Writing a Business Plan Financial Statement

• Don’t stuff your pages with lots of information, and avoid large chunks of text. Also, use a font size that is large enough. Even if these would spread out your statement into more pages, don’t hesitate to spread it out. Legibility matters!
• After completing the spreadsheets in the financial statement, you should summarize the figures in the narrative section of your business plan.
• Put a table near the front of your financial statement that shows projected figures, pre-tax profit, and expenses. These are the figures you want the reader to remember. You can help the reader retain these figures in memory by including a bar chart of these figures, too.

As a final note, you should keep in mind that a financial statement is just an informed guess of what will likely happen in the future. In reality, the actual results you will achieve will vary. In fact, this difference may be very far from what you have forecast.

So, if your business is a start-up, prepare more capital than your projections show that you will need. Entrepreneurs have a natural tendency to project a faster revenue growth than what is realistic. So, don’t let this instinct fool you.

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7 Financial Forecasting Methods to Predict Business Performance

• 21 Jun 2022

Much of accounting involves evaluating past performance. Financial results demonstrate business success to both shareholders and the public. Planning and preparing for the future, however, is just as important.

Shareholders must be reassured that a business has been, and will continue to be, successful. This requires financial forecasting.

Here's an overview of how to use pro forma statements to conduct financial forecasting, along with seven methods you can leverage to predict a business's future performance.

Access your free e-book today.

What Is Financial Forecasting?

Financial forecasting is predicting a company’s financial future by examining historical performance data, such as revenue, cash flow, expenses, or sales. This involves guesswork and assumptions, as many unforeseen factors can influence business performance.

Financial forecasting is important because it informs business decision-making regarding hiring, budgeting, predicting revenue, and strategic planning . It also helps you maintain a forward-focused mindset.

Each financial forecast plays a major role in determining how much attention is given to individual expense items. For example, if you forecast high-level trends for general planning purposes, you can rely more on broad assumptions than specific details. However, if your forecast is concerned with a business’s future, such as a pending merger or acquisition, it's important to be thorough and detailed.

Forecasting with Pro Forma Statements

A common type of forecasting in financial accounting involves using pro forma statements . Pro forma statements focus on a business's future reports, which are highly dependent on assumptions made during preparation⁠, such as expected market conditions.

Because the term "pro forma" refers to projections or forecasts, pro forma statements apply to any financial document, including:

• Income statements
• Balance sheets
• Cash flow statements

These statements serve both internal and external purposes. Internally, you can use them for strategic planning. Identifying future revenues and expenses can greatly impact business decisions related to hiring and budgeting. Pro forma statements can also inform endeavors by creating multiple statements and interchanging variables to conduct side-by-side comparisons of potential outcomes.

Externally, pro forma statements can demonstrate the risk of investing in a business. While this is an effective form of forecasting, investors should know that pro forma statements don't typically comply with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) . This is because pro forma statements don't include one-time expenses—such as equipment purchases or company relocations—which allows for greater accuracy because those expenses don't reflect a company’s ongoing operations.

7 Financial Forecasting Methods

Pro forma statements are incredibly valuable when forecasting revenue, expenses, and sales. These findings are often further supported by one of seven financial forecasting methods that determine future income and growth rates.

There are two primary categories of forecasting: quantitative and qualitative.

Quantitative Methods

When producing accurate forecasts, business leaders typically turn to quantitative forecasts , or assumptions about the future based on historical data.

1. Percent of Sales

Internal pro forma statements are often created using percent of sales forecasting . This method calculates future metrics of financial line items as a percentage of sales. For example, the cost of goods sold is likely to increase proportionally with sales; therefore, it’s logical to apply the same growth rate estimate to each.

To forecast the percent of sales, examine the percentage of each account’s historical profits related to sales. To calculate this, divide each account by its sales, assuming the numbers will remain steady. For example, if the cost of goods sold has historically been 30 percent of sales, assume that trend will continue.

2. Straight Line

The straight-line method assumes a company's historical growth rate will remain constant. Forecasting future revenue involves multiplying a company’s previous year's revenue by its growth rate. For example, if the previous year's growth rate was 12 percent, straight-line forecasting assumes it'll continue to grow by 12 percent next year.

Although straight-line forecasting is an excellent starting point, it doesn't account for market fluctuations or supply chain issues.

3. Moving Average

Moving average involves taking the average—or weighted average—of previous periods⁠ to forecast the future. This method involves more closely examining a business’s high or low demands, so it’s often beneficial for short-term forecasting. For example, you can use it to forecast next month’s sales by averaging the previous quarter.

Moving average forecasting can help estimate several metrics. While it’s most commonly applied to future stock prices, it’s also used to estimate future revenue.

To calculate a moving average, use the following formula:

A1 + A2 + A3 … / N

Formula breakdown:

A = Average for a period

N = Total number of periods

Using weighted averages to emphasize recent periods can increase the accuracy of moving average forecasts.

4. Simple Linear Regression

Simple linear regression forecasts metrics based on a relationship between two variables⁠: dependent and independent. The dependent variable represents the forecasted amount, while the independent variable is the factor that influences the dependent variable.

The equation for simple linear regression is:

Y ⁠ = Dependent variable⁠ (the forecasted number)

B = Regression line's slope

X = Independent variable

A = Y-intercept

5. Multiple Linear Regression

If two or more variables directly impact a company's performance, business leaders might turn to multiple linear regression . This allows for a more accurate forecast, as it accounts for several variables that ultimately influence performance.

To forecast using multiple linear regression, a linear relationship must exist between the dependent and independent variables. Additionally, the independent variables can’t be so closely correlated that it’s impossible to tell which impacts the dependent variable.

Qualitative Methods

When it comes to forecasting, numbers don't always tell the whole story. There are additional factors that influence performance and can't be quantified. Qualitative forecasting relies on experts’ knowledge and experience to predict performance rather than historical numerical data.

These forecasting methods are often called into question, as they're more subjective than quantitative methods. Yet, they can provide valuable insight into forecasts and account for factors that can’t be predicted using historical data.

6. Delphi Method

The Delphi method of forecasting involves consulting experts who analyze market conditions to predict a company's performance.

A facilitator reaches out to those experts with questionnaires, requesting forecasts of business performance based on their experience and knowledge. The facilitator then compiles their analyses and sends them to other experts for comments. The goal is to continue circulating them until a consensus is reached.

7. Market Research

Market research is essential for organizational planning. It helps business leaders obtain a holistic market view based on competition, fluctuating conditions, and consumer patterns. It’s also critical for startups when historical data isn’t available. New businesses can benefit from financial forecasting because it’s essential for recruiting investors and budgeting during the first few months of operation.

When conducting market research, begin with a hypothesis and determine what methods are needed. Sending out consumer surveys is an excellent way to better understand consumer behavior when you don’t have numerical data to inform decisions.

Improve Your Forecasting Skills

Financial forecasting is never a guarantee, but it’s critical for decision-making. Regardless of your business’s industry or stage, it’s important to maintain a forward-thinking mindset—learning from past patterns is an excellent way to plan for the future.

If you’re interested in further exploring financial forecasting and its role in business, consider taking an online course, such as Financial Accounting , to discover how to use it alongside other financial tools to shape your business.

Do you want to take your financial accounting skills to the next level? Consider enrolling in Financial Accounting —one of three courses comprising our Credential of Readiness (CORe) program —to learn how to use financial principles to inform business decisions. Not sure which course is right for you? Download our free flowchart .

About the Author

Original text

Financial projections use existing or estimated financial data to forecast your business’s future income and expenses. They often include different scenarios to see how changes to one aspect of your finances (such as higher sales or lower operating expenses) might affect your profitability.

If you need to create financial projections for a startup or existing business, this free, downloadable template includes all the necessary tools.

What Are Financial Projections Used for?

Financial projections are an essential business planning tool for several reasons.

• If you’re starting a business, financial projections help you plan your startup budget, assess when you expect the business to become profitable, and set benchmarks for achieving financial goals.
• If you’re already in business, creating financial projections each year can help you set goals and stay on track.
• When seeking outside financing, startups and existing businesses need financial projections to convince lenders and investors of the business’s growth potential.

What’s Included in Financial Projections?

This financial projections template pulls together several different financial documents, including:

• Startup expenses
• Payroll costs
• Sales forecast
• Operating expenses for the first 3 years of business
• Cash flow statements for the first 3 years of business
• Income statements for the first 3 years of business
• Balance sheet
• Break-even analysis
• Financial ratios
• Cost of goods sold (COGS), and
• Amortization and depreciation for your business.

You can use this template to create the documents from scratch or pull in information from those you’ve already made. The template also includes diagnostic tools to test the numbers in your financial projections and ensure they are within reasonable ranges.

These areas are closely related, so as you work on your financial projections, you’ll find that changes to one element affect the others. You may want to include a best-case and worst-case scenario for all possibilities. Make sure you know the assumptions behind your financial projections and can explain them to others.

Startup business owners often wonder how to create financial projections for a business that doesn’t exist yet. Financial forecasts are continually educated guesses. To make yours as accurate as possible, do your homework and get help. Use the information you unearthed in researching your business plans, such as statistics from industry associations, data from government sources, and financials from similar businesses. An accountant with experience in your industry can help fine-tune your financial projections. So can business advisors such as SCORE mentors.

Once you complete your financial projections, don’t put them away and forget about them. Compare your projections to your financial statements regularly to see how well your business meets your expectations. If your projections turn out to be too optimistic or too pessimistic, make the necessary adjustments to make them more accurate.

*NOTE: The cells with formulas in this workbook are locked. If changes are needed, the unlock code is "1234." Please use caution when unlocking the spreadsheets. If you want to change a formula, we strongly recommend saving a copy of this spreadsheet under a different name before doing so. 

We recommend downloading the  Financial Projections Template Guide in English  or  Espanol .

Do you need help creating your financial projections? Take SCORE’s online course on-demand on financial projections or connect with a SCORE mentor  online or in your community today.

Simple Steps for Starting Your Business: Financial Projections In this online module, you'll learn the importance of financial planning, how to build your financial model, how to understand financial statements and more.

Business Planning & Financial Statements Template Gallery Download SCORE’s templates to help you plan for a new business startup or grow your existing business.

Why Projected Financial Statements Are Essential to the Future Success of Startups Financial statements are vital to the success of any company but particularly start-ups. SCORE mentor Sarah Hadjhamou shares why they are a big part of growing your start-up.

Copyright © 2024 SCORE Association, SCORE.org

Funded, in part, through a Cooperative Agreement with the U.S. Small Business Administration. All opinions, and/or recommendations expressed herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the SBA.

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Without sound financial projections your business plan is merely conceptual.

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Sustainability Consultant | Business Coach & Educator | Founder of  The Academy of Human Potential.

The financial section of your business plan might be intimidating to tackle, especially if you are a new business owner with little to zero financial history recorded. But it is arguably the most essential piece to master when laying out the foundation of a new business model. In fact, financial projections are also equally as important to existing businesses in order to set new and recurring goals, monitor progress and act as a warning system when things fall off track. 

For these reasons among a few others, financial projections are an essential business planning tool that should be carefully considered, and not having them can be detrimental to your business' sustainability. Here are the top four ways having sound financial projections will set you up for long-term success in your business venture.

Validating Your Business Model

I've seen how common it is to see entrepreneurs get excited at the possibility of starting a new business venture. Frequently, business plans highlight the best-case scenarios and focus on industry analysis, overall strategy and products and services. But when it comes to the financial section, assumptions are oftentimes questionable, and critical numbers tend to get glossed over. An entrepreneur’s best opportunity to truly understand the viability of their business idea and gauge its potential return on investment is to scrutinize these other factors. 

Furthermore, a lot can be revealed in the process. Although you may be focusing on the next 12 to 60 months in initial projections, you’ll also be conducting research and calculating the size of your total addressable and serviceable markets , target markets and market shares. Additionally, financial projections will show you the likely outcomes of different pricing strategies in order to make a profit, scale your business and eventually reach a point of sustainability. 

Without a clear financial plan that analyzes costs, other critical decisions will be impacted such as how big your marketing budget can be, how much overhead you can take on and who you can afford to hire at startup and during expansion. Without knowing your net profit margins, you will struggle to establish feasible milestones and create systems that efficiently maintain operational costs. 

Identifying Funding Requirements

One of the most significant threats to new and existing companies is the cash-flow gap. Many entrepreneurs focus on the potential of the endeavor without considering the associated risks involved. Although you might be able to launch lean and initially bootstrap your business, there may be a point where you run out of seed capital due to supplier issues, unexpected events or an influx of business that requires more resources. This can happen whether you are a brand new business or recasting your finances for expansion. 

Having solid financial projections requires entrepreneurs to ask key questions such as how much money is needed and, importantly, by when. Specifically, you’ll need to know what is required to reach profitability and get to the next milestone or funding round. This will help you identify areas for cutting unnecessary costs so that you can cover cash flow dips to stay afloat. Your projections will tell you how much runway you have before you run out of cash and how much debt you can take on if necessary. After you know this, you can decide which types of financing are best for your company. This can range from requiring angel funding, business lines of credit or even personal loans. 

Getting Buy-In From Stakeholders

Without buy-in from essential figures including people such as lenders, investors, industry partners, employees and other key players, it may prove difficult to gain traction. Financial projections, which are core to completing important documents such as business plans and pitch decks, are required to present to key stakeholders. That is why financial projections are needed to forecast valuations and returns, including when investments will yield a profit. You might even have team members who will be investing their time rather than their finances, or both, so being able to give them a clear indication of how much time is required of their effort will maintain momentum and provide good faith in your leadership. Essentially, all of your stakeholders are going to want to know the potential of your business and that you know what you’re doing. 

Setting Milestones

Financial projections also provide your business with revenue and profit goals. Without having these milestones, you may become stagnant. When mapping out your financials, think about what it is that you want to accomplish. 

For existing businesses, it is critical to periodically update financial projections whenever operational changes have been made, such as switching suppliers, hiring new personnel, adding a new location or expanding products and services. As things change, it is critical to assess the financial impact these developments will have on your business. Remember that milestones are essential to continual growth and having them will inspire and motivate your team to reach new heights.

Where should you start?

Financial projections are always educated guesses. To make yours as accurate as possible, do your homework and get some help. Begin with data that you acquired when you researched for your business plan. You will find that a lot of information is available from industry associations, various government sources and similar companies in your industry. I recommend using a robust financial template that includes the main financial statements, detailed revenue and operating expenses, as well as financial ratio analyses. I also suggest working with an experienced accountant in your industry to help fine-tune your finances. 

Once you complete your financial projections, keep them up-to-date and refer to them regularly by comparing them to your actual financial statements to see how well your business is doing. If you find that your projections are either too optimistic or bleak, this is your opportunity to make them more accurate and use them as a tool to keep moving forward.

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How to make financial projections?

How to Make Financial Projections: A Step-by-Step Guide

As a business owner, creating financial projections is a crucial step in planning for the future and making informed decisions about your company’s growth and development. Financial projections provide a snapshot of your company’s financial performance over a specific period, typically one to three years. In this article, we will guide you through the process of making financial projections, highlighting the key steps and considerations to ensure accuracy and reliability.

Why Are Financial Projections Important?

Financial projections are essential for businesses of all sizes and industries. They help you:

• Plan for growth : Projections enable you to set realistic goals and develop strategies to achieve them.
• Make informed decisions : By analyzing financial data, you can make informed decisions about investments, funding, and resource allocation.
• Secure funding : Financial projections are often required by lenders and investors to assess the viability of your business.
• Monitor performance : Projections help you track your company’s progress and identify areas for improvement.

Step 1: Gather Historical Financial Data

Before creating financial projections, you need to gather historical financial data for your company. This includes:

• Income statements : Revenue, expenses, and net income for each period (e.g., monthly, quarterly, annually).
• Balance sheets : Assets, liabilities, and equity for each period.
• Cash flow statements : Cash inflows and outflows for each period.

Step 2: Identify Assumptions and Variables

To create accurate financial projections, you need to identify the assumptions and variables that will impact your company’s financial performance. These may include:

• Revenue growth rate : The rate at which your company’s revenue is expected to grow.
• Cost of goods sold : The cost of producing and selling your products or services.
• Operating expenses : Fixed and variable expenses, such as salaries, rent, and utilities.
• Capital expenditures : Investments in assets, such as equipment, property, and software.
• Working capital requirements : The amount of cash needed to fund daily operations.

Step 3: Create Pro Forma Financial Statements

Using the historical financial data and assumptions, create pro forma financial statements for each period. These statements include:

• Income statement : Projected revenue, expenses, and net income.
• Balance sheet : Projected assets, liabilities, and equity.
• Cash flow statement : Projected cash inflows and outflows.

Step 4: Analyze and Refine Projections

Review and analyze your pro forma financial statements to ensure they are accurate and realistic. Consider:

• Trend analysis : Identify trends in your company’s financial performance and adjust projections accordingly.
• Sensitivity analysis : Test the impact of changes in assumptions and variables on your financial projections.
• Scenario planning : Create alternative scenarios to prepare for potential risks and opportunities.

Step 5: Present and Update Projections

Present your financial projections to stakeholders, including investors, lenders, and employees. Regularly update projections to reflect changes in your company’s financial performance and market conditions.

Key Considerations

When creating financial projections, keep the following key considerations in mind:

• Accuracy : Ensure that your projections are based on realistic assumptions and data.
• Consistency : Use consistent methods and assumptions throughout the projection period.
• Sensitivity : Consider the impact of changes in assumptions and variables on your financial projections.
• Flexibility : Be prepared to adjust projections in response to changes in your company’s financial performance and market conditions.

Creating financial projections is a critical step in planning for your company’s future and making informed decisions about growth and development. By following the steps outlined in this article, you can create accurate and reliable financial projections that will help you achieve your business goals. Remember to regularly update your projections to reflect changes in your company’s financial performance and market conditions.

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Voya Financial to acquire Indianapolis-based OneAmerica Financial’s retirement plan business

Indianapolis-based OneAmerica Financial will be acquired by New York City-based Voya Financial. Photo courtesy of OneAmerica Financial.

News Release

INDIANAPOLIS — Voya Financial, Inc. and OneAmerica Financial, Inc., a diversified mutual insurance organization, announced that the companies have entered into a definitive agreement for Voya to acquire OneAmerica Financial’s full-service retirement plan business.

In a press release, Voya Financial stated the acquisition adds strategically attractive scale to Voya’s full-service retirement business within Wealth Solutions, providing Voya with a broader set of capabilities that complement its existing product suite, including competitive employee stock ownership plan administration, and new opportunities to expand Voya’s distribution footprint and deepen its existing advisor relationships.

OneAmerica Financial’s full-service retirement plan business comprises 401(k), 403(b), 457, non-qualified deferred compensation plans and employee stock ownership plans. The transaction adds approximately $47 billion of assets to Voya’s strategically important full-service Emerging and Mid-Market segments and extends the firm’s leadership position in the Large Market by adding approximately $15 billion of recordkeeping assets.   As a result of the acquisition, Voya’s Wealth Solutions Defined Contribution client assets will grow to $580 billion, with total retirement plan and participant count reaching 60,000 and 7.9 million, respectively.

“This announcement is an exciting opportunity to add scale and new capabilities to our Wealth Solutions business that will help advance our growth strategy by offering workplace benefits and savings solutions to more individuals,” said Heather Lavallee, CEO, Voya Financial. “Voya is a purpose-driven company focused on supporting improved financial outcomes for our customers. OneAmerica is equally passionate about enabling financial security for their customers, making them a strong fit for Voya.”

“OneAmerica Financial is placing its retirement business in the hands of an organization that can deliver industry-leading offerings,” said Scott Davison, chairman, president and CEO of OneAmerica Financial, Inc. “For 60 years, we have been committed to serving the retirement market by helping our customers face every day with greater certainty. Voya is the firm to deliver on that commitment. We see this as a great opportunity for our customers and the OneAmerica Financial associates that will continue to grow with Voya, while we will focus on our remaining core product lines where we see tremendous growth potential.”

With the ability to serve employers and plans of all segments and sizes, including startup, Emerging and Mid, Large and Mega market plans, the acquisition of OneAmerica Financial’s full-service retirement plan business reflects Voya’s commitment to growing its Workplace Solutions businesses, supporting more participants with their workplace benefits and savings needs.

“This acquisition fully aligns with Voya’s relentless focus on customer satisfaction, leveraging the strength and expertise of two dedicated organizations who deliver a variety of workplace benefits and savings solutions,” said Rob Grubka, CEO, Workplace Solutions, Voya Financial. “OneAmerica’s broad range of retirement capabilities, combined with our existing product suite and digital solutions, provides an opportunity to extend Voya’s reach across all market segments to deliver health, wealth and investment solutions through the workplace and institutions.”

The transaction expands the services Voya provides to workplace benefits and savings plans it serves across all markets, tax codes and employer sizes. This includes OneAmerica Financial’s competitive employee stock ownership program and the benefits of its broad reach across the advisor community, bringing new and increased intermediary relationships to help expand Voya’s footprint.

“OneAmerica is centered around the people we serve, and we are deeply passionate about what we do,” said Sandy McCarthy, president of Retirement Services at OneAmerica Financial. “Our goal has always been to take our business to the next level to continuously improve our clients’ experiences to better optimize their outcomes. Voya shares this vision, and we are excited to see how our customers and associates will benefit in this new chapter.”

The transaction is expected to close on Jan. 1, 2025, subject to customary closing conditions, including regulatory approvals. Additional information on the transaction and its financial impact has been made available in a supplemental investor presentation on Voya’s investor relations website at  investors.voya.com . Voya intends to provide more details on the transaction during its third-quarter 2024 earnings call.

Citi is serving as financial advisor and Eversheds Sutherland LLP is serving as legal counsel to Voya in connection with this transaction.

Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC is serving as financial advisor and Sidley Austin, LLP is serving as legal counsel to OneAmerica Financial Partners in connection with this transaction.

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Donald Trump Prepares to Unveil a Cryptocurrency Business

Mr. Trump said he would introduce the project on Monday, continuing his embrace of the crypto industry, a major source of political donations.

By David Yaffe-Bellany

Former President Donald J. Trump said on Thursday that he was preparing to unveil a new cryptocurrency business, as his presidential campaign aggressively courts the multibillion-dollar crypto industry in the run-up to November’s election.

In a video posted on X, Mr. Trump said he would introduce the crypto platform, World Liberty Financial, in a livestream at 8 p.m. on Monday. “We’re embracing the future with crypto, and leaving the slow and outdated big banks behind,” he said.

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A post on World Liberty Financial’s Telegram channel on Thursday said Mr. Trump would appear on the livestream from Mar-a-Lago, his country club in Palm Beach, Fla. “Get ready as we unveil our plan to Make Finance Great Again,” the post said.

It’s unusual for presidential candidates to start new businesses in the middle of a campaign, and Mr. Trump’s business interests have raised concerns about conflicts of interest throughout his political career. He also owns a large stake in Trump Media & Technology Group , the parent company of the conservative social media platform Truth Social. The company’s stock has plunged in recent weeks, reducing the value of his stake by billions of dollars.

World Liberty Financial is Mr. Trump’s latest effort to ingratiate himself with the crypto industry. On the campaign trail, he has vowed to end a crackdown on the industry by the U.S. government, which has pushed for stricter regulations on digital currencies. In July, Mr. Trump spoke at the annual Bitcoin conference in Nashville, one of the largest crypto gatherings of the year, promising to make the United States “the crypto capital of the planet.”

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